After the 00z and 06z runs held Friday's front out west, the 12z has corrected back east to fall in line with the other models, which means an almost stalled front across the west only slowly edging east.
This does mean a lot of rain - just how much I'm not sure, as the precipitation accumulation maps never seem to work properly any more (shows 4mm here tonight for GFS, when NAE shows 12-16mm, despite both having similar precipitation intensity sequences overnight). WRF has about 10mm.
Beyond that, the models are coming together on the idea of a sliding trough in 5-6 days time, but there is this tendency to produce vague areas of nothingness to the N of the UK while the strong block remains across Russia/Scandinavia.
That does sound a bit familiar doesn't it? 2013 mk. II
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser