I can't tell the difference between what's serious and the usual tripe you post. Do us a diagram. 

We make a great couple 

I'm telling  Karen!  

I've told her everything! You can't hurt me anymore, bunny boiler!

Brian will be jealous

This particular pattern with persistent north-westerlies, has been especially poor for the north.

Ahem. Pure luck but not a bad punt for first 2 weeks of July eh? Except it MAY actually be record breaking after all.

However, I believe there will be a prospect that the Azores High will link with the large blocking high over Scandinavia to give much of the UK an extremely warm and dry period for the first two weeks of July after perhaps a few unsettled days at the start.

With winds tending to be coming from a southerly quarter, temperatures in the south could soar into the high twenties, and possibly low thirties at times, although not record-breakingly hot.

These high temperatures, combined with high humidity will be a recipe for afternoon and evening showers and storms, most of these centred around the southern half of the UK.

 Almost as accurate and reliable as James Madden.  Lol.

Note to mods....my June LRF was pants.  This is for humour purpose only. 

One of the many things that annoys me about our summer climate is how rare it is to get a day where it is wall to wall sunshine and calm. Most of the time there is some sort of cloud around and/or a breeze. 

Even today - it's really warm out there already, but in the last hour there is more cloud around than sun and a pretty substantial breeze. What often seems to happen is it'll stay that way until later afternoon when it'll become mainly sunny again and the breeze will drop. 

So true Matty lovely here at the moment whilst I'm working but by the time I get to enjoy it later it's forecast to be cloudy and then tomorrow rain!!

Oh well looks like I can safely get the BBQ fired up one night in the week 

This annoys me too. I see more 100% sunny days in spring than summer.

They're not that rare on the South Coast.. Although on days of unbroken sun clouds can still be visible over inland areas. ☀️☀️

Yeah I know the reasons why, you donut lol 

lol at that BBQ pic 

Quite right. Also the 6z GFS op shows a different scenario later on than the 00z did. 

At the risk of sounding like a winter post - I think FI is around Wednesday at the moment, although it may be fair to say any charts should never be taken as gospel at 5 days out no matter what they are showing. We've constantly been projected to break down here over the last few weeks, but in reality we've now had a good three weeks of very useable, mainly dry and often warm weather. 

I wonder what else is in store moving forward  

Well we've certainly paid for what was an excellent May and June and start to July, although areas further north didn't even get that. Utter garbage since then and the charts are currently dreadful into early August. Still plenty of time for things to change. 

The differences over small distances are amazing.  Yesterday evening's rain was the first real puncture to the bubble of summer we've enjoyed here since about mid June...

And it was very boring yesterday and can't find it interesting like what Death Valley experienced with such big drop in temperatures and proper storms around as least better than all day rain which wasn't useful anyway.  

The charts had been wrong all the time and kept churning out LP out from nowhere over the UK and then vanish just after exiting here.  We normally see real LP exiting from America heading toward us in the Autumn but this time every time large HP that should see from my eyes to move in over UK, the models suddenly developed LP out from no where like they did for Monday and again on Wed without any reasons and due to faulty data sets.  This cannot go on and on so something will change for the better next week and see the North get some deserved summery weather.

Is this going to be the most accurate long-range forecast for this summer? From 27th May. An earlier post from SC was not far off the mark either.

There is one thing I think most of us have missed with regard to this summer. There is one clue which has given away the fact that summer is over and there will not be a return to warm weather. I've noticed it and its this - Its flies. The presence of flies. I noticed it about 10 days ago now when I was in my local pub. There were about half a dozen or so flies hanging about the bar. I didn't think much about it at the time - then I noticed that I had a similar number in my kitchen. I only see these like this usually about the end of September/ early October.

I have noticed them in a number of shops and other places I have been in this past week.

I don't know what others think of this one - but its more than a gut feeling to me that we have seen the last of summer.

Just 9 days have reached 20C here and all but three of them were when I was in Ibiza 

Highest temperature I have experienced here was just 21.6C which is desperately poor. Today was the 14th day out of 22 since I got back that failed to even reach 16C

The dire temperatures are the least objectionable element of this horrendous car-crash of a season. Pales in significance compared to the wettest July since 1970 with only 15 hours sun more than January and February managed