theweatheroutlook

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Bertwhistle
06 January 2016 17:55:46


 


 


A quite remarkable looking chart and only a week away.


 


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


It's all down to that rascal of a high over the pole; butterfly wing symmetry.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Polar Low
06 January 2016 18:00:23

Latest from Matt H


"Quite an astonishing flip in the AO compared with mid Dec and what is now expected by mid Jan. No wonder cold wx".





Embedded image permalink



 

ITSY
06 January 2016 18:04:16

surely the coldest ens in years? Eastern england: http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=313&y=100


at least a 5-6day cold spell there

Polar Low
06 January 2016 18:10:13

Dont even think about it Brian PB etc on front page  "doom of death"


 


GEFS12z update looks reasonable for cold weather fans.



Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

White Meadows
06 January 2016 18:10:16
I like the way that low moving NE from Azores is being consistently modelled!
Ally Pally Snowman
06 January 2016 18:10:52


What's not to like about that run from GFS?

Maybe the death of the Arctic and Greenland highs towards the end and slow, slow move towards a topple, which is so far in FI it can almost be disregarded anyway?...
But.. and I'm sorry to shout.... look at the SSW appearing for the 3rd run in a row.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=384&mode=10&carte=1

Hope "springs" eternal.

And "spring" is ironic, because you know what's going to happen? We're going to get bouts of winter which last into April.

I feel it......


Originally Posted by: johnm1976 


Your link isn't working but here you go and it's a stunner best of the winter. Could we get an SSW


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=384&mode=10&carte=1


 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
White Meadows
06 January 2016 18:13:33
Moomin will be watching with green eyed frustration down in Oz
Hade Edge Snowman
06 January 2016 18:15:19

Moomin will be watching with green eyed frustration down in Oz

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


 


Hade Edge Snowman
West Yorkshire
1060 feet/323 metres ASL
SJV
06 January 2016 18:18:26

Moomin will be watching with green eyed frustration down in Oz

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


Depends really, being in Oz he'll see a southerly not a northerly, probably has no idea 

Rob K
06 January 2016 18:22:30
GEM manages to keep the deep cold away from the UK pretty effectively!

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rgem1802.gif 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Brian Gaze
06 January 2016 18:25:30

ECM12z cold by Monday.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
nsrobins
06 January 2016 18:25:56
Just an observation, but the 12Z GFS ENS look like a slight easing off from the -8/-9 850s to -7/-8 for London. Probably not significant, and this sort of thing is to be expected imo but evidence that this cold spell is not nailed yet (at least in terms of uk wide snow potential), but it will almost certainly get much colder if you get my 'drift'.
Get it to +96 with all three mains in the party before dusting off the gloves.
Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Rob K
06 January 2016 18:31:06


ECM12z cold by Monday.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


Yes and quite decent cold in place with -7C 850s right down to the south coast  by the following day.


 

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Polar Low
06 January 2016 18:32:27

Nice better negative alignment



 


 


 


 

Rob K
06 January 2016 18:33:16
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ecm/144_thickuk.png?cb=420 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Maunder Minimum
06 January 2016 18:34:05

Nice run from ECM so far - 850s at t+144:


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2016010612/ECM0-144.GIF


 

New world order coming.
Polar Low
06 January 2016 18:35:02

Whats up Marcus? Arsenal are top come on


Rob K
06 January 2016 18:39:38
Not quite sure where that mild sector came from at 168 on the ECM but hopefully that is indicative of some serious snow getting dumped!

Almost a Channel low but it seems to be heading southwards...

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ecm/168_mslp850uk.png?cb=185 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Polar Low
06 January 2016 18:42:30

Indeed Rob short wave running south in quite cold air maybe more to come



 


 


Not quite sure where that mild sector came from at 168 on the ECM but hopefully that is indicative of some serious snow getting dumped!

Almost a Channel low but it seems to be heading southwards...

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ecm/168_mslp850uk.png?cb=185

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Brian Gaze
06 January 2016 18:43:19

ECM at 192!!


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Brian Gaze
06 January 2016 18:44:24

Not quite sure where that mild sector came from at 168 on the ECM but hopefully that is indicative of some serious snow getting dumped!

Almost a Channel low but it seems to be heading southwards...

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ecm/168_mslp850uk.png?cb=185


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Those things always have mild sectors. Looks like snow on its eastern flank.

Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
David M Porter
06 January 2016 18:45:52


ECM at 192!!



Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 



As Popeye used to say, "blows me down!"

Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Ally Pally Snowman
06 January 2016 18:47:28

Not quite sure where that mild sector came from at 168 on the ECM but hopefully that is indicative of some serious snow getting dumped!

Almost a Channel low but it seems to be heading southwards...

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ecm/168_mslp850uk.png?cb=185

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


 


Thats has to be a snowmageddon chart stunner! Cracking ecm run!


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1682.html


 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Polar Low
06 January 2016 18:50:21

Colder air digs back in cracking run 



 


 


 



ECM at 192!!



Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Maunder Minimum
06 January 2016 18:52:20

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