theweatheroutlook

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moomin75
18 July 2016 06:12:55

Will no doubt be gone on the 6z, but this is without a doubt the earliest I have EVER seen a -10 isotherm on the charts (just to the southwest of Svarlbard) on August 2nd.


Blimey that really is early. Winter is on the way folks!


 


http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3722.gif

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Sevendust
18 July 2016 06:44:08


Latest BBC weather week ahead says no mention of high temps beyond Thursday. Down to average from then well into next week with weak fronts crossing west to east


Originally Posted by: bledur 


Back to normal weather although the south continues dry. I haven't seen any mention of any high temperatures beyond this short snap anyway.


It will interesting to see what extent the CET gets pushed up and whether we get an above average July as a result.


Meanwhile, Moomin LOL

moomin75
18 July 2016 07:05:10

ECM not great after the dash of heat.


Back to normal so not a write off either


 

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
moomin75
18 July 2016 07:31:19


 


Back to normal weather although the south continues dry. I haven't seen any mention of any high temperatures beyond this short snap anyway.


It will interesting to see what extent the CET gets pushed up and whether we get an above average July as a result.


Meanwhile, Moomin LOL


Originally Posted by: Sevendust 

Hehe. Don't worry it was very much tongue in cheek. But it is early. Always nice to see the -10 showing up though. Hopefully it'll visit our shores a lot this coming winter. 

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Gavin D
18 July 2016 07:42:34

UKMO shows high pressure rebuilding for the weekend


Rukm961.gifRukm1201.gifRukm1441.gif

schmee
18 July 2016 12:19:58
http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/avnpanel1.html  shows HP close by through to the end of month. (Forseeable) for especially the south. Sweating already.
Observations from around GUILDFORD in SURREY and now Nottingham
bledur
18 July 2016 13:07:53

That looks a lot cooler and more unsettled.Mellow


cultman1
18 July 2016 14:13:03
Lets hope that this ECM doom laden chart for Thursday week is a real outlier and doesn't come off! Otherwise we will be back to the dreadful dross of much of this summer so far...
moomin75
18 July 2016 14:18:07

Lets hope that this ECM doom laden chart for Thursday week is a real outlier and doesn't come off! Otherwise we will be back to the dreadful dross of much of this summer so far...

Originally Posted by: cultman1 


I fear it will mate. Crap charts invariably verify.

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
schmee
18 July 2016 14:48:49
Roll on the 06zs
Observations from around GUILDFORD in SURREY and now Nottingham
Phil G
18 July 2016 16:47:24

Roll on the 06zs

Originally Posted by: schmee 


Quickly read this as roll on the 60's.


A time when the seasons had seasonal weather.

LeedsLad123
18 July 2016 16:50:45


 


Quickly read this as roll on the 60's.


A time when the seasons had seasonal weather.


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


Except for the fact that the 1960s had the worst summers of the 20th century. 

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
SJV
18 July 2016 16:55:16
High pressure tries desperately to hang on after the weekend on the GFS 12z op run, but eventually gives way to low pressure. FI is pretty shocking it must be saud. Good job it's FI!
Bertwhistle
18 July 2016 16:59:18

High pressure tries desperately to hang on after the weekend on the GFS 12z op run, but eventually gives way to low pressure. FI is pretty shocking it must be saud. Good job it's FI!

Originally Posted by: SJV 


The wisest comment of the night. If it verifies, so be it. But that's not now- and a look at the twists already unfolding in this summer's tale fictionalises any dark prophecies.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Charmhills
18 July 2016 17:03:50

High pressure tries desperately to hang on after the weekend on the GFS 12z op run, but eventually gives way to low pressure. FI is pretty shocking it must be saud. Good job it's FI!

Originally Posted by: SJV 


This is the UK and we always pay dearly for fine weather in this country.


This burst of heat could be the only heat we get this summer.

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
SJV
18 July 2016 17:05:45


 


The wisest comment of the night. If it verifies, so be it. But that's not now- and a look at the twists already unfolding in this summer's tale fictionalises any dark prophecies.


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


It may well verify as the Greeny high is hard to shake off in terms of its influence on our weather. Conversely, GFS FI had high pressure right through to the end of its run only a day or two ago.  What will be will be 


Just get out there and enjoy any sun that comes your way! 


 

sunnyramsgate
18 July 2016 17:26:01
YAWN YAWN you lot a so depressing
colin46
18 July 2016 17:39:36
How anyone can like this humid oppressive awful heat is beyond me!! give me cool ,drizzly gunk any day of the week!
shine on you crazy diamond
192.104 m / 630.262 feet ASL
Jiries
18 July 2016 17:51:48


 


This is the UK and we always pay dearly for fine weather in this country.


This burst of heat could be the only heat we get this summer.


Originally Posted by: Charmhills 


No I don't agreed that we should pay dearly for any weather we get but what we got today is very normal hot spell that should come along during summer months.  No models last week Monday was showing hot spell for this week.  So it can turn up any time and nothing to be paid for it as it the same to all countries.

moomin75
18 July 2016 18:05:49
What is interesting to me is how capable we are of reaching exceptionally high temperatures even in a generally cool and unsettled summer nowadays. If we can at some stage in the next few years tap into a longer feed from the south in July then I am pretty certain that the 40c threshold will be reached sooner rather than later.
This is a one day only offer tomorrow but a longer lasting feed from the south would almost certainly result in a mega heatwave one day soon.
I will say that this will happen and probably sooner than we may think.
I reckon by 2020 somewhere in the UK will have recorded 40c. It's just a matter of time.
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Charmhills
18 July 2016 18:28:12


 


No I don't agreed that we should pay dearly for any weather we get but what we got today is very normal hot spell that should come along during summer months.  No models last week Monday was showing hot spell for this week.  So it can turn up any time and nothing to be paid for it as it the same to all countries.


Originally Posted by: Jiries 


That's not what I actually said.

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
SJV
18 July 2016 18:29:47

YAWN YAWN you lot a so depressing

Originally Posted by: sunnyramsgate 


Hey don't tar me with the same brush as Duane (Charmhills)  He'll be fine once he gets his storms on Tues/Weds 

cultman1
18 July 2016 18:39:12
With quite a lot of uncertainty around over the next 2 weeks i wouldn't be at all surprised if we don't get another burst of 'real heat and summer' in early August. For the south at least this coming weekend is looking more than fair with high pressure rebuilding.....
Gavin D
18 July 2016 18:39:29

Good shout from NAVGEM (Friday's run 12z)


Jiries
18 July 2016 18:39:31

What is interesting to me is how capable we are of reaching exceptionally high temperatures even in a generally cool and unsettled summer nowadays. If we can at some stage in the next few years tap into a longer feed from the south in July then I am pretty certain that the 40c threshold will be reached sooner rather than later.
This is a one day only offer tomorrow but a longer lasting feed from the south would almost certainly result in a mega heatwave one day soon.
I will say that this will happen and probably sooner than we may think.
I reckon by 2020 somewhere in the UK will have recorded 40c. It's just a matter of time.

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


It just lately we seeing more of 20C 850 uppers reaching here for 2nd time after last year when it hard to get in the past, at best 17-18C uppers.  Latest ensembles show no further hot spells but it can change as no ensembles was showing 20C uppers tomorrow from last week runs.

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