Very early days but there is some definite divergence from the exponential appearing in the most recent data.
So fitting an exponential function on the cases up until around the 27th you would expect there to be about 15400 confirmed cases by the 30th. There were only 9042.
In fact the increase in total cases from the 29th to the 30th was actually less than from the 28th to the 29th (1331 compared to 1737)
Keeping in mind these figures do not represent the true spread of the illness, it is at least something positive that we may no longer be seeing exponential growth. But again as I say, it's extremely early days.
The same is true of the deaths. Using data prior to the 27th you would have expected about 450 deaths by the end of the 30th. There were only 213.
Originally Posted by: Quantum