Fascinating stuff about Sweden in the Tele today. Their experiment will yield useful results and may - just may - give some hope to those wanting an earlier end to the lockdown. As I said yesterday, Covid-19 seems to act as a "fast forward" button on those who are already ill. Whatever happens, it's a fascinating experiment.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/04/03/coronavirus-swedish-experiment-could-prove-britain-wrong/
Paywalled, but here are some snippets.
Public health officials have one more trick up their sleeves to dampen down the fears over the virus. The country is also about to start releasing figures that show how many people died "from" coronavirus rather than died "with" coronavirus, as the British statistics show.
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Professor Neil Ferguson of Imperial College, has told the UK Government's Science Technology and Health Committee that up to two thirds of deaths of people with coronavirus would probably have happened this year anyway.
So it will be interesting to find out just how many can actually be attributed to the virus, a figure that Britain is unlikely to find out before annual mortality figures are released early next year.
The Swedes believe that changing how the figures are reported will cut the number of people dying from coronavirus by as much as four fifths, and slash the death rate to well below 1 per cent, perhaps even lower than seasonal flu.
So far it appears that men account for the vast majority of intensive care cases, with women making up just 24 per cent of those infected.
Likewise, of those needing intensive care, some 76 per cent had underlying health conditions, with high blood pressure being the biggest risk factor.
In Britain, it could end up being even higher. Just 6 per cent of people who died on Friday, 3 April had no reported health problems.
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Whatever happens, within weeks it will become apparent whether Sweden's gamble has been a triumph of common sense or a catastrophic and deadly mistake.
And the results of the experiment will be felt throughout the world. If public health officials do manage to flatten the curve it will make it far more difficult for the UK to continue imposing a lockdown that is devastating the economy.
Likewise, if deaths surge, it will give governments the ammunition they need to keep restrictions in place for longer, perhaps even until a vaccine or treatment is available.
Originally Posted by: Retron