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Ulric
04 April 2020 09:04:02


A few of my locals are doing off-sales in plastic containers and it’s more than half decent and much better than the bottled stuff which is fine but will never replace a decent hand pulled ale.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


The stuff I got was straight from the hand pump. Keeps overnight in a cool place too.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-52154490/coronavirus-baldock-pub-turned-shop-lets-people-book-a-slot


 


To doubt everything or to believe everything are two equally convenient solutions; both dispense with the necessity of reflection. - Henri Poincaré
Sevendust
04 April 2020 09:05:15


I thought the problem was more about a large number being hospitalised, exhausting NHS resources and thereby potentially leading to deaths amongst those not connected with Covid19.


Originally Posted by: westv 


Yep

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
04 April 2020 09:08:13


I thought the problem was more about a large number being hospitalised, exhausting NHS resources and thereby potentially leading to deaths amongst those not connected with Covid19.


Originally Posted by: westv 

Yes it is. That’s why they’re trying to even out the number of cases over time, rather than all at once.  I don’t think they ever thought they’d stop it spreading. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Joe Bloggs
04 April 2020 09:15:34


I really haven’t found people to be arrogant generally.  Although where I walk, it’s easy to avoid anyone walking the opposite way, as the paths are through wide grassed areas.  I always expect to give way to others and I’m always thanked or acknowledged.  It usually generates polite verbal exchange and a laugh!


I accept that everyone’s situation is different and I’m lucky to live surrounded by countryside.  Being sensible and accepting that not everyone has common sense, is probably the best approach. 


Originally Posted by: Caz 


Yes everyone’s situations are different and you are lucky not to live in an urban area. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

llamedos
04 April 2020 09:28:07

It just occurred to me that even if we hit 100,000 tests per week it would still take well over 10 years to test everyone, even if it’s just once each - which won’t be enough.

So, testing isn’t going to solve the problem either.

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

Apparently the reference is to the number of tests, not the number of people tested.......


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52149832


 


"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
The Beast from the East
04 April 2020 09:35:06


 


And don't forget to make the floor sticky with alcohol and move your toilet to three doors down the street for that added Wetherspoon’s effect.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 



I can pee in the neighbour's garden if that helps?, but I often have to pee on the street or in someone's drive on the stagger back  home anyway


But my alcohol consumption has dramatically fallen thanks to this crisis. I don't like drinking at home alone! 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Maunder Minimum
04 April 2020 09:35:13


I thought the problem was more about a large number being hospitalised, exhausting NHS resources and thereby potentially leading to deaths amongst those not connected with Covid19.


Originally Posted by: westv 


That is happening anyway.


The strategy is wrong, since we are completely trashing the economy when there would have been no need had we in Europe followed the examples of Taiwan and South Korea. But that would have required forward thinking, stopping flights from infected regions and preventing people from unnecessary travel and port screening those who do arrive.


But too late for that, so the second best option is to isolate as best we can those who are vulnerable and then let life get back to as normal as possible for everyone else.


 


New world order coming.
John p
04 April 2020 09:37:30

Neil Ferguson making predictions again:

He told BBC Radio 4: "The critical thing first is to get case numbers down, and then I'm hopeful... in a few weeks' time we will be able to move to a regime which will not be normal life, let me emphasise that, but will be somewhat more relaxed in terms of social distancing and the economy, but relying more on testing."

- What ‘more relaxed’ social distancing could be mean?
- Why is he talking about the economy? He should stick to the science and that only.
- Testing so far has not been great

It’s a bold prediction to make. Was he the professor that also said deaths would peak at 260?

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


I think the 260 prediction came from Oxford. Agree Ferguson needs to stop media work for a while though. He’s been the cause of a lot of confusion and mixed messages IMO. 


Camberley, Surrey
The Beast from the East
04 April 2020 09:37:56

Neil Ferguson making predictions again:

He told BBC Radio 4: "The critical thing first is to get case numbers down, and then I'm hopeful... in a few weeks' time we will be able to move to a regime which will not be normal life, let me emphasise that, but will be somewhat more relaxed in terms of social distancing and the economy, but relying more on testing."

- What ‘more relaxed’ social distancing could be mean?
- Why is he talking about the economy? He should stick to the science and that only.
- Testing so far has not been great

It’s a bold prediction to make. Was he the professor that also said deaths would peak at 260?

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


Whoever he is, I like him!


End this lockdown ASAP! Get Britain open for business again!


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Maunder Minimum
04 April 2020 09:42:30


 


Whoever he is, I like him!


End this lockdown ASAP! Get Britain open for business again!


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Agreed Beast - agree 100% now.


New world order coming.
Heavy Weather 2013
04 April 2020 09:43:50
Beast and Maunder both wanting to put people to the slaughter.

What a disgrace
Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Bugglesgate
04 April 2020 09:45:22


I really haven’t found people to be arrogant generally.  Although where I walk, it’s easy to avoid anyone walking the opposite way, as the paths are through wide grassed areas.  I always expect to give way to others and I’m always thanked or acknowledged.  It usually generates polite verbal exchange and a laugh!


I accept that everyone’s situation is different and I’m lucky to live surrounded by countryside.  Being sensible and accepting that not everyone has common sense, is probably the best approach. 


Originally Posted by: Caz 


 


I passed  a young woman with a child  yesterday - she was in the middle of the path looking into the distance.  I was forced  onto a rough newly ploughed field to avoid them by 2M.  She suddenly woke up and  apologised profusely - was was watching the tractor  at the other side of the field.  We had a laugh about not upsetting Boris.  I have no problem with this, we are all finding our way and none of us is perfect.  It's pig ignorance and  rudeness that gets my goat


Chris (It,its)
Between Newbury and Basingstoke
"When they are giving you their all, some stagger and fall, after all it's not easy banging your heart against some mad buggers wall"
Ulric
04 April 2020 09:47:25


The strategy is wrong, since we are completely trashing the economy when there would have been no need


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 



To doubt everything or to believe everything are two equally convenient solutions; both dispense with the necessity of reflection. - Henri Poincaré
Brian Gaze
04 April 2020 09:52:40

Neil Ferguson making predictions again:

He told BBC Radio 4: "The critical thing first is to get case numbers down, and then I'm hopeful... in a few weeks' time we will be able to move to a regime which will not be normal life, let me emphasise that, but will be somewhat more relaxed in terms of social distancing and the economy, but relying more on testing."

- What ‘more relaxed’ social distancing could be mean?
- Why is he talking about the economy? He should stick to the science and that only.
- Testing so far has not been great

It’s a bold prediction to make. Was he the professor that also said deaths would peak at 260?


Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


Yes he clearly enjoys the sounds of his own voice. He needs to be told to shut up because the messages going out are confusing and inconsistent. The Guardian quotes him saying:


That moves us to a slightly more pessimistic scenario.


We still think things will plateau but we’ll be at quite high levels of infection for weeks and weeks rather than seeing quite a rapid decline as the type seen in China.


We want to move to a situation where at least by the end of May that we’re able to substitute some less intensive measures, more based on technology and testing, for the complete lockdown we have now.


 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
JHutch
04 April 2020 09:55:25

Bit of analysis here on the actual number of deaths per day. As we have noted, the number of deaths reported in a given day is the number that are officially reported rather than the number of people who died that day - there is often a lag. For instance, for 29th March the official figure reported was 159 but so far 463 deaths have been attributed to that date


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/04/why-what-we-think-we-know-about-the-uks-coronavirus-death-toll-is-wrong

John p
04 April 2020 09:56:16


 


Agreed Beast - agree 100% now.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


Doesn't your daughter work for the NHS?


Camberley, Surrey
Brian Gaze
04 April 2020 09:58:45

Article in The Times suggesting the areas which locked down during the Spanish Flu epidemic benefited in the longer term. 


What cost the lockdown? They helped economies in 1918, study suggests


Seattle could see the pandemic coming as, to the east, town after town fell. When Spanish flu at last hit the Pacific coast the city was ready. Theatres, saloons, churches and schools were shuttered for five months.


In Saint Paul, Minnesota, the response was different. Worried, perhaps, about the economic effects, the town dithered and reopened after a month. Years later, as Seattle boomed, its economy was still suffering.


Economists believe that the 1918 flu pandemic could offer us a parable. For those countries weighing up the economic cost of intervention versus the lives saved, it is part of growing evidence that suggests the two are not mutually exclusive.


The study, by researchers from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, compared the severity of measures taken a century ago by 43 cities and the subsequent recovery. Their analysis of employment, manufacturing and bank losses implied that the economic costs alone of stopping a pandemic might be less then those of not stopping it.


https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/what-cost-the-lockdowns-they-may-have-helped-in-1918-krtmv6ppj


 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Bolty
04 April 2020 09:58:52

Beast and Maunder both wanting to put people to the slaughter.

What a disgrace

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


It's a balancing act. Yes, we can't "let it rip" as the loss of life would be massive and the strain on the NHS will most likely cause it to cave in. At the same time, there's only so much of the economy we can sacrifice. If there's no money coming in, you can't fund the NHS or anything else for that matter, and that is just as devastating.


No one wants to see thousands or millions die from this disease, but I can also assure you, no one wants to live through a depression and the consequences of that either.


What they need to do is buy these antibody tests and return people have recovered and are immune to work. At the same time, extend the lockdown to the beginning of the last week of April and then start a massive track and trace scheme to make sure the disease doesn't remege in the autumn, otherwise we will be back to lockdowns by October.


Am I confident this will happen though? No.


Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
Brian Gaze
04 April 2020 10:01:36

Beast and Maunder both wanting to put people to the slaughter.

What a disgrace

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


The "British commentator" Toby Young is making the same argument.  It seems to be populists and nationalists who support the idea. Incidentally it is now believed "herd immunity" won't be achieved until 70% of a population has been infected. Previously it was thought 60% would do the trick. Ouch... 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Joe Bloggs
04 April 2020 10:01:54


 


It's a balancing act. Yes, we can't "let it rip" as the loss of life would be massive and the strain on the NHS will most likely cause it to cave in. At the same time, there's only so much of the economy we can sacrifice. If there's no money coming in, you can't fund the NHS or anything else for that matter.


No one wants to see thousands or millions die from this disease, but I can also assure you, no one wants to live through a depression either.


What they need to do is buy these antibody tests and return people have recovered and are immune to work. At the same time, extend the lockdown to the beginning of the end of April and then start a massive track and trace scheme to make sure the disease doesn't remege in the autumn, otherwise we will be back to lockdowns by October.


Am I confident this will happen though? No.


Originally Posted by: Bolty 


If they brought together the best IT and medical/scientific brains there has to be a good chance of organising a mass scale contact tracing programme. Using an app probably! 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Justin W
04 April 2020 10:04:13


 


Agreed Beast - agree 100% now.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


You are out of your mind.


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
Brian Gaze
04 April 2020 10:04:33


 


It's a balancing act. Yes, we can't "let it rip" as the loss of life would be massive and the strain on the NHS will most likely cause it to cave in. At the same time, there's only so much of the economy we can sacrifice. If there's no money coming in, you can't fund the NHS or anything else for that matter, and that is just as devastating.


 


Originally Posted by: Bolty 


This is not true. In times of emergency it is possible to switch over to a planned or command economy where "money" becomes an even more abstract concept than in normal times. It is only a mechanism for allocating resources. During WW2 even the UK switched to being primarily a command economy. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Phil G
04 April 2020 10:05:02


Today is the first time I’ve actually read the NHS pages. 


https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/self-isolation-advice/


One thing has surprised me - if you have symptoms, the guidance suggests it is still ok to go out and have your daily walk in the park. 


Given my experiences, this is worrying and makes me want to stay in! I thought previous to this that at least if everyone was following the guidelines, nobody with symptoms would be out! 


Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


Must go down as attempted murder, or nanslaughter at least.

Brian Gaze
04 April 2020 10:07:22


 


If they got the best IT and medical/scientific brains together there has to be a good chance of organising a mass scale contact tracing programme. Using an app probably! 


Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


Yes I'm looking forward to the app-ocalypse in the UK. I wish Apple hadn't popularised the use of the word "app" because many politicians now use it without understanding what one is. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Justin W
04 April 2020 10:08:02


 


This is not true. In times of emergency it is possible to switch over to a planned or command economy where "money" becomes an even more abstract concept than in normal times. It is only a mechanism for allocating resources. During WW2 even the UK switched to being primarily a command economy. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


The economies of the West have never faced deflationary pressure on a scale like this before. It is absolutely unprecedented. Therefore HMG can happily issue bonds to the tune of, by my estimation, £1 trillion or more with the BoE purchasing the bulk of these bonds through its new QE programme. There would be virtually no inflationary consequence from this given the scale of the depression we are now facing.


This is the temporary solution with the lockdown - in effect, print sterling on a massive scale to nationalise virtually the entire economy and helicopter money to every household to see us all through.


The QE can be slowly unwound upon recovery. I doubt taxes would have to rise at all.


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?

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