WX charts; week 1 NW Europe incl Britain and much of Scandinavia hot, but a cooler patch around the Alps, and much of Russia rather cold for the time of year. Week 2 much the same, a little cooler for N Britain but the Alpine patch shrinking. For rainfall, week 1 continuing very wet in the Balkans and the Black Sea area, very dry across N Sea and Scandinavia, a little rain for W Scotland. Week 2, Britain becoming wet and this linking through the Alps to the Balkans (it just doesn't give up there). Dry-ish in Scandinavia.
GFS Op - HP over Scandinavia with weak ridge to Britain (mostly the N) for this week, declining Mon 19th as LP near Cornwall 1005mb comes and goes across Britain for the following week, with an indeterminate balance between shallow LP on Atlantic and weak HP in the Baltic.
ECM - similar to GFS, the LP over Ireland rather than Cornwall
GEFS - temps declining from v. warm now to near norm Fri 16th (less of a dip in the N) followed by a return of warmth peaking Tue 20th before the mean returns to norm though usual variation in ens members by this time. Rain in the next couple of days possible, then mainly dry esp in S & E until until Tue 20th when rain becoming frequent in many ens members though not all.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl