Not a great deal of change for Britain in WX temp charts for the net two weeks, but in Europe a retreat of freezing weather from most of the Baltic in week 2, while the area down towards the Danube Basin *which has been unusually mild) gets colder. Some very warm weather showing up on the southern fringes of the map (Morocco, Syria) while the sea east of Iceland is colder. Rain through France, Spain and along the northern fringes of the Mediterranean in week 1, decreasing in week 2; Britain fairly dry but not quite as marked as yesterday.
GFS Op - LP now over Britain filling to be replaced by a series of troughs working their way past the SW into Biscay . 985mb Tue 5th Fastnet, and again 975mb Fri 8th, the latter working its way down into France turning the winds from SE or S earlier in the week into a full E-ly by Mon 11th. HP then develops 1030mb covering most of Britain until Sat 16th cutting off the E-ly, but drifting S and fading by Tue 19th with zonal flow and LP approaching NW Scotland.
ECM concurs
GEFS - mean temps near norm through the next fortnight but with steadily increasing spread of ens members (op has a rather cold few days around the 12th). Rain in some ens members now and then throughout though op and control rather dry; small amounts generally but heavy at times in W especially SW.
Originally Posted by: DEW