The latest via the GFS Manchester proxy method is 15.8 up to the 27th, rising to 16.2 by the end of the month.
We'll see!

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Hadley

15.9 to the 25th

0.1c below the 61 to 90 average
0.6c below the 81 to 10 average

Without a helping hand from Monday to Wednesday it wouldn't have made average; but I think the recovery was not bad, just like June.

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IMANSF143         16.4c         Nicks'1BATH75       15.8c
Metcheck             15.90c        Anomaly     -0.57c
Netweather          16.46c       Anomaly      -0.04c
Peasedown St John  16.01c    Anomaly     -0.8c.

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Stays at 15.9°C to 26th.

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Hadley

15.9 to the 26th

0.1c below the 61 to 90 average
0.6c below the 81 to 10 average

IMANSF143           15.4c         Nicks'1BATH75   15.8c
Metcheck               15.88c         Anomaly          -0.58c
Netweather            16.47c        Anomaly          -0.04c
Peasedown St John  15.98c      Anomaly          -0.83c.

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Hadley
15.9 to the 27th

0.1c below the 61 to 90 average
0.6c below the 81 to 10 average

IMANSF143             16.6c       Nicks'1BATH75    15.9c
Metcheck                 15.5c             Anomaly        -0.5c
Netweather              16.53c          Anomaly         0.04c                
Peasedown St John  16.05c          Anomaly        -0.76c.

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HadCET still not published for yesterday. Interestingly I have noticed this happens when there are dramatic changes in the data- perhaps understandably if further validation is required.
I am obviously thinking that 16.2 is still on the cards with high 20s maxes and 16 mins expected for a couple of days. 

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IMANSF143           16.8c          Nicks'1BATH75   16.66c
Metcheck               16.11c           Anomaly        -0.35c
Netweather            16.66c          Anomaly         0.17c
Peasedown St John  16.55c        Anomaly         -0.66c.  

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July
To 29 July the TWO tracker is:

16.1°C

1961-1990: 0.20°C
1971-2000: -0.10°C
1981-2010: -0.30°C
1991-2020: -0.70°C
1659-2020: 0.10°C

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/cet-tracker.aspx 

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I notice that June is now showing 0.0C anomaly - it was showng as -0.1C, although the value hasn't changed I think, at 14.0C?

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15 C mean at Swanston which for the first time this month is positive! Albeit +0.1 C
We are on 67% sun and 86% rain with two days to add

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Spotted that 10 days ago, but nobody commented.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/Posts/m1591033-June-2024-UK-Weather-Temperature-Analysis-and-Discussion-CET-competition 

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Good spot - I hadn't noticed that

I have an Access database on the daily CET data which I update as soon as the new month's values are finalised. When I check my database against the daily data that the Met Office have there now, I can see that changes have been made by the Met Office after the monthly figures were published at the start of July

16 days in June have all had their mean CET updated by  +0.1C which is enough to alter the monthly average from 14.00 to 14.06  and be shown as 14.1 with anomaly of 0.00C (1961-90)

Looking at the rest of my database from 1772 and the current Met Office CET history,  I can see that every month has had the same sort of changes applied including all those between 1961 to 1990 but in the case of this range it was not enough to alter the average June figure for that base data but that may not be the case for other months in the 1961-90 range

If you go to the very foot of the CET page

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html


 You can see that the CET history was updated on 11 July 2024 and there has been a new CET column added in the tables themselves

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Hadley
16.0 to the 29th

0.1c above the 61 to 90 average
0.6c below the 81 to 10 average

IMANSF143             16.8c          Nicks'1BATH75       16.46c
Metcheck                 16.24c             Anomaly            -0.23c
Netweather              16.8c               Anomaly            0.31c
Peasedown St John   16.42c            Anomaly            -0.39c.  

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Hadley

16.1 to the 30th

0.2c above the 61 to 90 average
0.5c below the 81 to 10 average

Looks like 16.3c is the final mark. And Windywillow takes the spoils. Congrats 

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If that's the case that'd be amazing for me lol to have two on the trot. Although last months was mostly by default because everyone guessed too high and mine was the lowest 😁😉😎

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I'm pleased. I got close with 16.0C.    🙂 

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Well done Windy.  Looks like you’re on a winning streak!  
I let optimism rule again and went way too high with 17.2c.  I was doing so well for the first three or four months too. 

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Finally found some to catch up on this and have realised a two-pronged error has occurred, first on my side then seemingly in my CET estimate listed for this month, unless I made a typo in the message I sent.

So here it is - I meant to predict just under 0.3°C below the 1991-2020 average, but somehow got my reference point wrong and went for a seriously chilly (for the time of year) 15.53°C, about 1.3°C below average. This I accept can't be reasonably overturned now, so I'll take that hit, but in the listed CET estimates it says an even lower 15.33°C.

In other words, as far as I'm aware, I was 0.2°C closer to the final CET. Alas, still much further out than I would have been had I been paying better attention to what I was doing. I honestly logged in today expecting to look back on a much needed great result for this month, only around 0.1°C out. Must admit, I'm pretty cross with myself right now. How did I not even realise that mid-15s is pretty low for July?
Ah well, all I can do is carry on and hope for some kind of astonishing recovery in the remaining months.

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Where are we all now in the table.    🙂 

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