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Iceman
23 February 2018 10:16:12

EC snow chart to Friday 00z shows up to 10 inches in the NE many places just see a light covering

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

">https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/89388-model-output-discussion-here-comes-the-beast/?do=findComment&comment=3770469


And snow cover through the central belt.


Yeah!


Awesome NWP again today. Bring it on!

East Kilbride 480 ft
roger63
23 February 2018 10:16:16

Dont know if this was posted last night  but 120h fax suggests snow for the north and south.


Modele UKMO - Carte FAX Bracknell - Pression et fronts

SEMerc
23 February 2018 10:19:01

Not liking the look of this low's track, nor the uppers profile.


T+168.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0

The Beast from the East
23 February 2018 10:20:09

looks like a breakdown for the south on the 06z, but a snowy one 

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Justin W
23 February 2018 10:20:10


Not liking the look of this low's track, nor the uppers profile.


T+168.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


 


No, me neither. Think I may have spoken to soon in reply to Rob. However, it's just one hand of 20 so no doubt other solutions will be available.

Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
Easternpromise
23 February 2018 10:20:47


Could be wrong but it looks to me as if the 06Z is going the way of the 00Z in terms of bringing in milder air from the south.


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


But the push of milder air looks slower and looks like it may struggle to get far North (at +174)


Location: Yaxley, Suffolk
Joe Bloggs
23 February 2018 10:21:23


Not liking the look of this low's track, nor the uppers profile.


T+168.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_168_10.png


Remember remember the surface parameters.


This deep cold continental influence is not normal service.


 


Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
squish
23 February 2018 10:21:57
06z....snow threat further south at end of week. Bitterly cold though...
D.E.W on Dartmoor. 300m asl
SEMerc
23 February 2018 10:22:43

EDIT - Looks like we've dodged a bullet (in terms of a milder incursion) by T+180. Very close though.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=180&mode=1

Charmhills
23 February 2018 10:22:43


Not liking the look of this low's track, nor the uppers profile.


T+168.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


 


I'll take that thank you very much.

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Arcus
23 February 2018 10:22:50


Not liking the look of this low's track, nor the uppers profile.


T+168.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


Looks pretty bonza to me.

Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Joe Bloggs
23 February 2018 10:24:05

People are worrying too much and getting a bit tetchy today. Understandable. 


This chart is at T+120 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_120_2.png


Absolutely awesome. Bands of heavy snow pushing in from the east affecting many areas.



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
Maunder Minimum
23 February 2018 10:24:42


Not liking the look of this low's track, nor the uppers profile.


T+168.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


Looks fantastic to me - snowmaggedon for the Midlands :-)

New world order coming.
kmoorman
23 February 2018 10:25:54


Not liking the look of this low's track, nor the uppers profile.


T+168.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


 


Looks fine to me, snow all the way, and then it moves away East.

Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)
Work: Canary Wharf, London
Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968
Tim A
23 February 2018 10:26:51
Even if we are to discuss the GFS 6Z extended output (144-192 hours), the -4C 850hpa isotherm doesnt get into the UK, so no worries with mild temps
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl

 My PWS 
Maunder Minimum
23 February 2018 10:27:38


People are worrying too much and getting a bit tetchy today. Understandable. 


This chart is at T+120 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_120_2.png


Absolutely awesome. Bands of heavy snow pushing in from the east affecting many areas.



Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


Agreed - snow almost anywhere from Monday onwards. Fine detail won't be apparent until nearer the time, but you can just envisage the snow streamers which will set up as very cold unstable air crosses the North Sea.

New world order coming.
John p
23 February 2018 10:27:52


Not liking the look of this low's track, nor the uppers profile.


T+168.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=168&mode=0


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


Not a fan of snow then?

Camberley, Surrey
Jiries
23 February 2018 10:28:58

Amazing London ensembles this morning and I screen shot it to save it as to remember as this is the best one I ever seen with confident to reach -15C and as low as -17C so more likely to be around -16C as the result.

desktop9
23 February 2018 10:29:51

Metoffice cold weather alert updated to level 3


 


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

tallyho_83
23 February 2018 10:30:27
Is it me or is the model run a bit slow today?

Usually at 1030am it should already by up to +300z by now but still at +204

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=1&model=gfs&var=1&run=6&time=198&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=6#mapref 
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


kmoorman
23 February 2018 10:32:09

Is it me or is the model run a bit slow today?

Usually at 1030am it should already by up to +300z by now but still at +204

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=1&model=gfs&var=1&run=6&time=198&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=6#mapref

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


 


It takes longer to render all those hashes for the snow.

Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)
Work: Canary Wharf, London
Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968
Nordic Snowman
23 February 2018 10:32:10


EDIT - Looks like we've dodged a bullet (in terms of a milder incursion) by T+180. Very close though.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=180&mode=1


Originally Posted by: SEMerc 


Yes... and as Joe posted, remember the surface temperatures will be lower.


There will always be this risk and scare moments when we try and go for the magic substantial snowfall and to remain on the cold side.


A risk worth taking? I'd say yes.


The scary part is that we have many more runs to see how this plays out and in the process will suffer lots of weather-related anxiety 

Bjorli, Norway

Website 
Allyjo
23 February 2018 10:33:50
probably due to millions hitting the refresh button all at once :-)
Saint Snow
23 February 2018 10:34:39

Whilst very much aware of the limitations of the GFS ppn forecasts, they have a persistent signal for that wide band of heavy snow to move northwards late next week. I'm hoping for a snow-induced early dart from work next Friday - but my daughters are at a big cheerleading comp in Sheffield on the Saturday, which should be an *interesting* drive.


 


 


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Justin W
23 February 2018 10:35:38

Deep in FI but it is not until Sunday next week that some milder stuff makes it into the far SW


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
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