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Gusty
15 January 2019 18:49:39

ECM 216. The strat has landed ! 



Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



White Meadows
15 January 2019 18:49:58

Can anyone post the 850’s at this point;

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=1&model=ecm&var=1&run=12&time=216&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=24#mapref


 


Edit: thanks Steve you read my mind.

Solar Cycles
15 January 2019 18:50:00
The dreaded Easterly is now being touted, good for some but crap IMBY. Still awaiting some consistency with regards to troughing over Europe and heights towards the NW.
Whiteout
15 January 2019 18:50:13

-12’s in the SE on T+216 lol.


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl

Winter 22/23:

Snow falling days - 3
Snow lying days - 3
Phil G
15 January 2019 18:53:20
ECM is much the same as this morning and I was surprised there weren't more posts then.
White Meadows
15 January 2019 18:53:53
The 240 chart looks a bit 1947!🥶
White Meadows
15 January 2019 18:54:24

ECM is much the same as this morning and I was surprised there weren't more posts then.

Originally Posted by: Phil G 

because the uppers were balmy?

tallyho_83
15 January 2019 18:55:43

12z ECM @ 216:


Snow potential for the south? (-8 to -10 uppers?)



Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Rob K
15 January 2019 18:56:24

ECM is much the same as this morning and I was surprised there weren't more posts then.

Originally Posted by: Phil G 


Similar synoptics but the 850s are about 6 or 7 degrees lower!


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
David M Porter
15 January 2019 18:56:55


12z ECM @ 216:



Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 



Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Gusty
15 January 2019 18:56:57

ECM 240 


-8 to -10's across much of England and Wales. 



Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



White Meadows
15 January 2019 18:57:03
Rob K
15 January 2019 18:57:53
JMA looks potentially rather snowy too.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Solar Cycles
15 January 2019 18:57:57


ECM 240 


-8 to -10's across much of England and Wales. Snow showers away from the west and NW



Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Yep, rubbish. 😂😂😂

tallyho_83
15 January 2019 18:58:55
Why can't the GFS model be like the ECM? 😃
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


JACKO4EVER
15 January 2019 18:59:09


..in your last 16 posts? 🤣


on a serious note, the gold always seems to stay at the end of the rainbow. Let’s see if ECM continues its pantomime ‘mild easterly’ from previous runs...


Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


😂


that ECM is a corker of a run, nothing mild there 😂

David M Porter
15 January 2019 18:59:22

The way things are staring to look in the model output, Brexit may not be the only problem the government has to deal with!


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Maunder Minimum
15 January 2019 19:00:11

Well the ECM 12Z has restored my faith in model watching. Perfect synoptics and even looks decent in the reliable time frame.


This is what the those of us who watch the Strat have been hoping for - we just need to count the days down to the middle of next week without things going pear shaped.


ECM at 240 is pure FI, but if that comes off, the south of England and most of France stand to get a proper snowfall with large accumulations as the southerly tracking lows start to fire up the Channel. Well, we can dream.


New world order coming.
Whiteout
15 January 2019 19:00:35


ECM 240 


-8 to -10's across much of England and Wales. 



Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Yep, run of the winter for me Steve  


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl

Winter 22/23:

Snow falling days - 3
Snow lying days - 3
Ally Pally Snowman
15 January 2019 19:01:51


ECM 216. The strat has landed ! 



Originally Posted by: Gusty 


 


Lovely stuff good consistency from the ECM .


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
fairweather
15 January 2019 19:01:55

In my opinion this ECM is best run I've seen this winter. Be interesting to see where it sits in the bigger picture. 


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Polar Low
15 January 2019 19:03:39

oh babe I love her ecm the snow queen


Image result for snow queen


 



ECM 240 


-8 to -10's across much of England and Wales. 



Originally Posted by: Gusty 

White Meadows
15 January 2019 19:03:46


In my opinion this ECM is best run I've seen this winter. Be interesting to see where it sits in the bigger picture. 


Originally Posted by: fairweather 

Seconded from me, although I imagine the op is a massive outlier 

Shropshire
15 January 2019 19:04:17


T+192, classic Easterly, heavy snow showers piling in 


Originally Posted by: Whiteout 


No, the Low has sunk Southwards so the air being pulled Westwards would be dry. It's pretty much a shadow Easterly - nothing like the Beast earlier this year.


 


 


From December 27th 2020, zonality will be banned from mixing with the UK. We appreciate that this may come as a shock to younger people and old Uncle Barty. This ban will last for a minimum of ten days.
Solar Cycles
15 January 2019 19:05:00


In my opinion this ECM is best run I've seen this winter. Be interesting to see where it sits in the bigger picture. 


Originally Posted by: fairweather 

Lol, it wouldn’t take much considering we’ve had a limpet high sat nearby us for the last few weeks.😎

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