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Brian Gaze
15 March 2020 11:18:01


 


OK just reading the ST now - it is being as alarmist as a tabloid, although I was amused by the article about ISIS telling its adherents to avoid suicide bombing in Europe now, since it is too risky 😁


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


Yes that tickled me too. 


PS: This could push me to subscribing to the Times online. Buying a physical newspaper is now a hazardous activity in itself.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Brian Gaze
15 March 2020 11:19:59


 


Going back to something Brian mentioned, I rather like the idea of street Whatsapp groups to keep everyone updated without having to see them directly and risk spreading germs.


Anyone else thinking of similar when the stuff really starts hitting the fan?


Originally Posted by: John p 


Virtually every adult is now a member of the WhatsApp group on our street. There are about 60 to 70 houses.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
15 March 2020 11:21:09


 


Thanks (and to the others that replied).


I guess things may be looking completely differently by midweek so think I will decide thenπŸ‘


Originally Posted by: John p 

  I certainly wouldn’t cancel.  Things may be different by the weekend and you might want to re-think then.  I’m guessing you’re not in a high risk group!  We may face travel restrictions at some time in the future, so go while you can. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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David M Porter
15 March 2020 11:21:36


 


I am so mad this morning. Boris needs to address the nation and clear up this confusion.


Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


Yep, and proto!


First thing tomorrow morning would be a good time, IMO.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Bugglesgate
15 March 2020 11:21:53


Quick read of the ST has left me very worried indeed. Approx stats:


1) UK has half as many intensive care beds and ventilators as Italy. It has about a fifth as many as Germany (Per capita)


2) It is proving very difficult to for Italian hospitals to buy more ventilators - not because of cash issues but because of production constraints


3) The UK is at the "back of the queue" because most ventilators are manufactured in EU countries


The above is why Hancock and Johnson are now crapping themselves and talking to companies like JCB. I have no idea how easy it will be for production lines to start making ventilators in large numbers in the UK.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Yes,  we are seeing that a "service economy" is about as much use as a choccy teapot in these circumstances.   Consumer activity stops and it falls to bits.   There is no capacity   to make "stuff" that is urgently needed be that vaccines, ventilators, hand cleansers or anything else. It is inevitable that nationalism will emerge here as countries with these facilities   make sure there own citizenry are OK first.  People are s[censored]ing at Trump's hat (and as a  reasonably "librul" type it sets my teeth on edge as well)  but when the chips are down, can you really blame  leaders for looking after their own ? 


WRT to  setting up a manufacturing plant  for ventilators from scratch.  If they are envisaging a "screwdriver plant" type operation - maybe.  In that   circumstance though  I very much doubt the component parts  manufactured in  other countries  will be forthcoming. They will want them to make their own !


If  they are thinking about manufacturing from scratch, you can forget it.  There is serious lead times for  this activity and especially so  for medical equipment that will need thoroughly testing and accreditation before being rolled out. Even getting plastic parts will need  molding equipment and  tooling to be constructed. Presumably you also need  to design and thoroughly test the electronic control  and monitoring systems.  This isn't  something that can be done in a few weeks - we will most likely have a vaccine long, long before the new product is available to roll out on a production line !


 


Chris (It,its)
Between Newbury and Basingstoke
"When they are giving you their all, some stagger and fall, after all it's not easy banging your heart against some mad buggers wall"
Retron
15 March 2020 11:23:21


She has been tested, apparently.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


That's incredibly unlucky for her! On the plus side, at least she'll be one of the very few immune people in a couple of weeks.



I think the number of infected is far higher than the headline figure.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


Yes, I know the other day they said between 5,000 and 10,000 estimated cases. If you apply the same multiplier as with actual, reported cases you'd be coming up to the population of a decently-sized town.


The official figures show 13 infected people in Kent, so to be next door to one (considering the population of Kent is oveer 1.5 million) is remarkable.


Even if the official figures were two orders of magnitude out (1,300 infected people in Kent), you're still most unlikley to know someone with it.


Again, as we're in the exponential phase it won't take long for that to change.


Leysdown, north Kent
Arcus
15 March 2020 11:23:42
It doesn't matter how many ventilators you have if you don't have the trained staff to use them.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
NickR
15 March 2020 11:23:42


 


Going back to something Brian mentioned, I rather like the idea of street Whatsapp groups to keep everyone updated without having to see them directly and risk spreading germs.


Anyone else thinking of similar when the stuff really starts hitting the fan?


Originally Posted by: John p 


7yo boy in a village 2 miles up the road, got back from Spain last weekend, came down with symptoms Friday night, including mild pneumonia. 2 doctors confirmed CV, but DIDN'T swab - I think they are only testing people admitted.


Bit worrying to have it so close, as people from that village shop in the same supermarkets as us.


Found out on a local FB group.


But, to echo Justin: this is much more widespread than the official stats suggest. The whole of Co. Durham is still down, as of yesterday, as having a single confirmed case.


Nick
Durham
[email protected]
Brian Gaze
15 March 2020 11:25:35


 


That's incredibly unlucky for her! On the plus side, at least she'll be one of the very few immune people in a couple of weeks.


 


Originally Posted by: Retron 


That's only certain if she dies. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Brian Gaze
15 March 2020 11:27:55


WRT to  setting up a manufacturing plant  for ventilators from scratch.  If they are envisaging a "screwdriver plant" type operation - maybe.  In that   circumstance though  I very much doubt the component parts  manufactured in  other countries  will be forthcoming. They will want them to make their own !


If  they are thinking about manufacturing from scratch, you can forget it.  There is serious lead times for  this activity and especially so  for medical equipment that will need thoroughly testing and accreditation before being rolled out. Even getting plastic parts will need  molding equipment and  tooling to be constructed. Presumably you also need  to design and thoroughly test the electronic control  and monitoring systems.  This isn't  something that can be done in a few weeks - we will most likely have a vaccine long, long before the new product is available to roll out on a production line !


 


Originally Posted by: Bugglesgate 


 That makes a lot of sense to me. TBH the distinction between a "screwdriver plant" and manufacturing from scratch is one that will probably need explaining to Boris and Hancock.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Heavy Weather 2013
15 March 2020 11:32:05
https://www.itv.com/news/2020-03-15/coronavirus-victim-family-feel-abandoned-by-government-revealed-they-will-not-be-tested-wycombe-hospital/ 

Family of victim of COVID-19 have not been tested
Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
15 March 2020 11:32:16


This morning's "Broadcasting House" Radio 4 interviews already back-pedalling on over-70s isolation. Apparently it means to go out as little as possible but still collect prescriptions and go shopping when necessary, not completely locking yourself in for 3 months. A definitive and consistent statement would be welcome - it may arise from the Andrew Marr interview which I haven't time to sit through.


Another tidbit from the same programme - Boots to initiate first private prosecution of shoplifter by a store chain (believed to be so, anyway) because police said it wasa civil matter and wandered off. The scrote was csught red-handed with £160-worth of goods, already had 21 prosecutions, incl 16 for shoplifting. An open-and-shut case and they hadn't got time to do anything even before the virus emergency got going.


Originally Posted by: DEW 

Not necessarily back-pedaling.  Probably clarifying misconstrued, or badly presented information.  Unfortunately the damage is done and social media will no doubt have its own jury and hangman at the ready. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Justin W
15 March 2020 11:32:42

The fiasco that some of us have been predicting for a few weeks is now unfolding. This Government is unfit to handle this national emergency.


Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
nsrobins
15 March 2020 11:37:32


 


 That makes a lot of sense to me. TBH the distinction between a "screwdriver plant" and manufacturing from scratch is one that will probably need explaining to Boris and Hancock.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Yes I did chuckle when Hancock said HMG were requisitioning car plants to make ventilators. We manufacture most of our own products and buy in a lot of the raw material from overseas. The design and CAD programming itself will take months, alpha and beta testing another six (it’s a medical device so strict rules and testing criteria), then maybe another three to release assuming all goes well. 
Anyone with even a basic understanding of a production process would acknowledge the plan to ‘magic’ ventilators (even using existing templates) in a few months is black magic.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
15 March 2020 11:38:07


I did notice in my local Tesco last week (as I bought a pack of Imperial Leather bar soap, the same stuff I've used since the 90s) that there was plenty of the old-fashioned soap left, even though there were massive gaps in the "squirty" soap section. And, of course, no hand gel to be seen anywhere.


Oh, there was loads of shower gel too and I believe that works the same as soap.


Originally Posted by: Retron 

 A good old fashioned bar of soap works as well as anything, costs a lot less than liquid soap and lasts a lot longer!


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
David M Porter
15 March 2020 11:40:38


The fiasco that some of us have been predicting for a few weeks is now unfolding. This Government is unfit to handle this national emergency.


Originally Posted by: Justin W 


We need a GNU right now in my opinion, like there was during WW2.


Johnson & co have been caught like the proverbial rabbit in the headlights of a car over this crisis through their failure to take effective action when what was developing elsewhere was becoming abundantly clear.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Brian Gaze
15 March 2020 11:43:12


Johnson & co have been caught like the proverbial rabbit in the headlights of a car over this crisis through their failure to take effective action when what was developing elsewhere was becoming abundantly clear.


Originally Posted by: David M Porter 


The PM is telling people to wash their hands and emphasising the importance of hygiene but at the same time is apparently ok with leaving dog pooh on the floor of his apartment. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
westv
15 March 2020 11:45:20


 


...ok with leaving dog pooh on the floor of his apartment. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Is that fact or press exaggeration?


At least it will be mild!
Gavin D
15 March 2020 11:48:19

Gavin D
15 March 2020 11:49:22

Sharp Green Fox
15 March 2020 11:51:01


 


Going back to something Brian mentioned, I rather like the idea of street Whats-app groups to keep everyone updated without having to see them directly and risk spreading germs.


Anyone else thinking of similar when the stuff really starts hitting the fan?


Originally Posted by: John p 


Think this is a good idea. Going to approach my neighbour/friend who loves organising stuff like this. Trouble is the over 70's in my avenue are the ones who will not use Whats-App and are probably the ones who need it most. Hopefully my friend will get on the case.

John p
15 March 2020 11:53:19


 


Yes I did chuckle when Hancock said HMG were requisitioning car plants to make ventilators. We manufacture most of our own products and buy in a lot of the raw material from overseas. The design and CAD programming itself will take months, alpha and beta testing another six (it’s a medical device so strict rules and testing criteria), then maybe another three to release assuming all goes well. 
Anyone with even a basic understanding of a production process would acknowledge the plan to ‘magic’ ventilators (even using existing templates) in a few months is black magic.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Shouldn’t we have bought these in January?  We’re always reactive and not proactive!


Camberley, Surrey
Joe Bloggs
15 March 2020 11:54:17

Various reports coming in from friends via text and social media that things are getting out of control in supermarkets.


Queues round the block in some places, 50 mins plus queue for check outs. 


We need some emergency legislation to combat this - not sure exactly how, but something needs to be done. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

SJV
15 March 2020 11:57:17


 


Yes I did chuckle when Hancock said HMG were requisitioning car plants to make ventilators. We manufacture most of our own products and buy in a lot of the raw material from overseas. The design and CAD programming itself will take months, alpha and beta testing another six (it’s a medical device so strict rules and testing criteria), then maybe another three to release assuming all goes well. 
Anyone with even a basic understanding of a production process would acknowledge the plan to ‘magic’ ventilators (even using existing templates) in a few months is black magic.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


So we have far less ventilators and critical care beds than countries like Germany, yet our Covid-19 curve follows very closely with theirs. Those with a sound knowledge of production processes state that manufacturing ventilators is a lengthy process and would rely on imports which may or may not be forthcoming, understandably.


A fiasco sounds about right, though it sounds like something our country has sleepwalked into, with its lack of preparedness for, an event like this.


 


 

Brian Gaze
15 March 2020 11:59:31


Various reports coming in from friends via text and social media that things are getting out of control in supermarkets.


Queues round the block in some places, 50 mins plus queue for check outs. 


We need some emergency legislation to combat this - not sure exactly how, but something needs to be done. 


Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


We need a government of national unity now. The problem is some of headbangers on the left and right will be up in arms about it.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
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