WX charts - colder weather trickling into W Europe in week 2, but counterbalanced by warmth in the E moving N from the Black Sea. Rain on Atlantic coasts and up into the Baltic (probably snow there) in week 1 replaced by rain in the E Med while the Atlantic pptn removes itself up to Iceland.
GFS Op - zonal to start with, but the LPs on increasingly S-ly tracks (Fri 13th and Sun 15th in northern N Sea), eventually by Wed 18th 960mb E Scotland having pulled down a lot of Arctic air to cover Britain. But that fills and drifts E-wards as ridge of HP develops from the SW becoming a large area of HP centred 1035mb over Britain Fri 27th
ECM - has similarities to GFS but on Wed 18th the area of LP is further E and S (990mb Sweden and W Germany) so W Britain escapes the worst of the Arctic. That LP also fills more quickly, and the HP sets up much earlier, 1040mb Baltic Sun 22nd, with Scotland under SW-lies and England under SE-lies
GEFS - temps generally decreasing with bursts of rain in the coming week, to become cold and somewhat drier from 17th -22nd Jan, after which agreement between ens members breaks down, some runs showing rain and some not (but many wetter later on in W), temp range at various stations on 26th Jan from 10C above mean to 15C below. Snow row figures typically in 20s in Scotland around the 18th, in the teens even in the far S.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl