WX temp profile fairly static for the next two weeks with Europe divided along N-S lines; France and westwards above norm and fairly mild; Poland and westwards cool but still above norm; Scandinavia and Russia below freezing and also somewhat below norm. Some warmth also in eastern Med. Rain over Atlantic coastal countries incl Britain in week 1 splits in week 2, one half moving N to Iceland, the other half moving S to the Med, but not absolutely dry in between.
GFS Op - week 1, LPs from Atlantic moving across Britain making more progress into Europe than shown yesterday, filling as they go. (currently 1010mb Germany, 970mb N Ireland Fri 8th to 995mb Baltic Tue 12th leaving shallow LP off W Scotland, that goes to 1000mb Denmark Wed 13th). Week 2, a general rise in pressure 1035/1040mb to the SW, mostly affecting Britain though with a N-ly break Wed 20th before re-establishing as a SW-NE ridge Fri 22nd.
ECM - similar to GFS though the HP in week 2 is closer 1040mb Fri 15th and looking set to stay there.
GEFS - wettest in week 1, drier later, poor agreement on slightly milder in week 1, wide variation later though mean stays near norm
Edited by user
06 December 2023 07:37:44
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Reason: Not specified
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