Must admit I always struggle with charts when they look cold/chilly but messy - a nice big scandi high with a squeeze of isobars over me is nice and easy. It'll be cold and probably snowy.

A weak ridge of HP over us from Scandi whilst the Atlantic pushes against it, oddly with air that aloft is as cold as that which drifted over from the east, just doesn't look as nice albeit might be snowy for some (inc my part of the world I guess). With no big push of air through I guess it should stay chilly/slack at the surface and anywhere that does get snow could have some noticeably cold nights.

Bit beyond my chart reading to work out specifics, who's most at risk, whether some people will just get cold rain/drizzle, what the likely evolution is etc. but it's certainly interesting. Not quite the winter getting warmer as it goes along set up some of the LRF's were going with

Obviously still time for things to get worse and make it more likely to rain than snow but nice that today has generally seen upgrades after a slow wander away from cold in the preceding days (albeit always still chilly rather than mild).

I wonder if tomorrow will see more of the same or another little flip/swing

SW Holland ensembles - brrr, snow risk slightly higher 8,9,10 Feb

https://www.weerplaza.nl/15daagseverwachting/?type=eps_pluim&element=&r=zuidwest

18z is a significant upgrade in snow and cold as we enter FI at t100+.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=102&code=0&mode=2

Winter is Coming

If the GFS 18z is a leader for the overnight runs there will be a number of people choking on their cornflakes tomorrow morning. 

Literally the best sub t144 charts ive seen in yrs.

A cold air sandwich unlike anything ive really seen before.

Maybe he should get a job with the Express unless that's who they use already 

might end up a sandwich and no filling

is this the coldest run that’s been seen ? Madness

Starting to look interesting now from Sunday night onwards. -10 uppers moving in from the east until at least mid week in the SE. Hawkinge hill could be fun next week!

Been a while since I have watched a proper pub run - the GFS 18Z fits the bill. Stonking cold from start to finish, from the east, the west and the north - no mild sectors.

A truly stunning 18z from the GFS.  -10c 850s from 96h to 228h at least 

And lo and behold, just 36 hours later we have -11c 850s forecast over Kent just 5 days away, and it stays at or below -10 for the next 5 days! 

A very good night to 💤I hope.

Well time will tell, but what fabulous interesting GFS 18z Run. And I also am very pleased indeed with the 12z run from ECMWF.

I hope in next few days we continue to find interesting forecast charts from these as well as the GEM and UKMO- a team effort is what we need. If only this forecast actually happens- I will be super thrilled!!.

On of the weather forecasts has heavy wintry showers of rain and sleet with cold NE winds developing for Sunday and Monday, for Kent in particular.

If that changes to include London as it gets closer and the precipitation turns to indicate snow showers that will be interesting.  The Weather Models seem to be pointing in that direction.

There could be heavy snow falling in many parts of the UK, but we’ll need to keep us updated on here as we get closer to said predictions for days shown to materialise.

Fun carries on all the way to day 16 . About a cold a run as I've ever seen from gfs . Bring it on!

Even I would do well out of all that even here at Kent.

However, model outputs are one thing, the reality come the moment will be another thing entirely . . . so, steady as we go.

Another easterly sets up post 300hrs. Wish I hadn't got through so much of my log pile!