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Interesting number of cold outliers in the mid term, massive scatter after the 15th would suggest things are fairly finely balanced
If we get another ECM run with blocking establishing the odds of something colder for later in the month must be improving, albeit still very much a low probability at the moment.
Cooler (but not cold) and drier than currently looks like a decent enough bet for the time being, unless the potential for cold gets developed in future runs and starts getting in to the more reliable part of the runs
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