http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/687389/uk-weather-forecast-sunshine-heatwave-hot-summer-2016

Brace yourselves summer is coming 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 13 Jul 2016 to Friday 22 Jul 2016:

Wednesday will be bright for most, with just a few showers, mostly in the northeast. From Thursday a more changeable weather pattern is likely, with outbreaks of rain interspersed by brighter spells. The northwest is likely to see the heaviest and most frequent rain, with brisk winds at times, but temperatures close to normal. In the south there may be more lengthy dry and bright spells, with temperatures becoming warm, perhaps very warm over the weekend, but with a low risk of thundery downpours. The changeable theme will likely continue next week, with most parts seeing some rain at times, but there will also be a downward trend in temperatures, particularly noticeable in the south. The heaviest and most frequent rain will probably still be in the northwest.

UK Outlook for Saturday 23 Jul 2016 to Saturday 6 Aug 2016:

Conditions are expected to remain rather changeable until the end of July and into early August, with occasional bands of rain trying to move eastwards across the country, interspersed by drier and brighter weather, but still with some showers. The most unsettled conditions are more likely to be in the north and west, with areas further south and southeast favoured for seeing the best of the drier, more settled weather. The more settled conditions may extend to more of the country at times. Temperatures averaging out near or just below normal, but with interludes of warm and humid conditions at times, most likely in the southeast.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Just as the Express goes for a heatwave, the Met Office goes for a "noticeable downward trend in temperatures". Sounds about right.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 14 Jul 2016 to Saturday 23 Jul 2016:

Thursday will be bright for most, but with some showers, mostly in central and eastern parts. From Friday a northwest/southeast split is likely to develop, with the northwest seeing outbreaks of rain or showers, with brisk winds at times, but also some brighter interludes. In the south more lengthy dry and bright spells are expected, but still with occasional rain or perhaps thundery downpours at times. Temperatures are likely to be close to, or slightly above normal in the north, but will be warmer in the southeast, perhaps very warm at times. This pattern is expected to continue into the following week, but temperatures are likely to trend downwards slightly to near average in the north, and close to or slightly above average in the south.

UK Outlook for Sunday 24 Jul 2016 to Sunday 7 Aug 2016:

Conditions are expected to be rather changeable through the latter part of July and into early August, with occasional bands of rain trying to move eastwards across the country, interspersed by drier and brighter weather, but still with some showers. The most unsettled conditions are more likely to be in the north and west, with areas further south and southeast favoured for seeing the best of the drier, more settled weather. The more settled conditions may extend to more of the country at times. Temperatures averaging out around normal, but perhaps with interludes of warm and humid conditions at times, most likely in the southeast.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 15 Jul 2016 to Sunday 24 Jul 2016:

A largely dry and fine end to the week is expected, especially across southern areas. In northwestern parts there may be rain at times, but the southeastern extent of this is currently uncertain. It will become warm across southern parts, perhaps very warm, but further north temperatures will be closer to average. Into the following week northwestern parts are likely to see outbreaks of rain or showers, interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. The southeast will see more prolonged drier and brighter spells, but occasional rain can't be ruled out, with perhaps some thundery downpours early in the week. It may still be warm or very warm in the south at first, but temperatures will become average or slightly above for most of the UK through the week.

UK Outlook for Monday 25 Jul 2016 to Monday 8 Aug 2016:

Conditions are expected to be rather changeable through the latter part of July and early part of August, with occasional bands of rain trying to move eastwards across the country, interspersed by drier and brighter weather, but still with some showers. The most unsettled conditions are more likely to be in the north and west, with areas further south and southeast favoured for seeing the best of the drier, more settled weather. The more settled conditions may extend to more of the country at times. Temperatures averaging out around normal for the latter part of July, but perhaps with interludes of warm and humid conditions at times, most likely in the southeast. Into August temperatures may trend downwards to a little below average, but this is currently very uncertain.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 11 July—Sunday 17 July
Unpromising start but warmer in south later

Outbreaks of rain and some heavy showers will mark the start of the week, no surprise given the proximity of a low pressure close to northern and western parts of the British Isles. Although this feature slips towards Scandinavia during Tuesday, it will continue to influence southern Britain's weather, providing copious showers, some of which may be thundery. At least Tuesday offers some respite for northern Britain, albeit short-lived. Wednesday will be a day of extensive showers with some sunny spells. Northern Ireland and western Scotland may see the heaviest of the showers, with a rumble of thunder possible.

Thursday and Friday will see a marked reduction in showers as pressure builds ahead of a deepening area of low pressure in the Atlantic. At this range, the weekend looks as though it could deliver some summery weather, at least for the bulk of England and Wales, with temperatures in the mid to upper 20s Celsius. Although there is a good deal of uncertainty, it may be that the Atlantic low will spread weather fronts towards much of Scotland and Northern Ireland, suppressing both temperatures and sunshine amounts.

Monday 18 July—Sunday 24 July
Variation on a theme as summer flatters to deceive

There seems little hope of a prolonged dry spell, heatwave or any other mark of a superior summer as we enter the third week of July. The Azores high, so essential for a British summer, looks unlikely to dominate. More low pressure systems will continue to influence affairs, especially so across the north and west of Scotland and also Northern Ireland. Temperatures and sunshine amounts may well suffer.

What high pressure there is should exert some influence across southern areas. Dry weather with some warmth should dominate but the feel-good factor may be tempered by occasional showers. There is a slight chance that humid air of continental origin, might drift into southern Britain, offering higher temperatures temporarily but with a heightened risk of thunderstorms. Time will tell.

Monday 25 July—Sunday 7 August
August looms ... summer, it's you last chance

If the truth were known, we may change the month with little appreciable change to the overall weather pattern. A few days of drier, more settled weather will offer themselves up, only to be broken by the crossing of fronts. We should still be looking to the Atlantic for much of our weather. As was the case with mid-July, there is a small chance that continental air will bring the risk of humidity and thunderstorms. There is no surprise, in such a scenario, it's this sort of set up that makes August one of the wettest months in the year for some areas, particularly the likes of East Anglia.

Next week

The summer round of sporting and social events continues in all parts. Will the weather play ball? Your first sense of what's on offer can be found here.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 16 Jul 2016 to Monday 25 Jul 2016:

Warm and humid with some bright spells in the southeast on Saturday, but rain in the northwest will move southeastwards through the day, perhaps giving a spell of heavy and persistent rain across England and Wales. Fresher conditions with sunshine and showers then follow into northern parts. Rather changeable conditions then look to dominate through the remainder of the period. Northwestern parts are likely to see more in the way of rain or showers, interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. The southeast, however, should see more drier and brighter spells, but also some rain at times. Warm in the south at first, and perhaps cool in the north, but temperatures will probably become nearer average through the period.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 26 Jul 2016 to Tuesday 9 Aug 2016:

Conditions are likely to be rather changeable through the latter part of July and early part of August, with occasional bands of rain trying to move eastwards across the country, interspersed by drier and brighter weather, but still with some showers. The most unsettled conditions are more likely to be in the north and west, with areas further south and southeast favoured for seeing the best of the drier, more settled weather. There is a chance that the more settled conditions may extend across a greater portion of the country for a time. Temperatures are likely to average out around normal, but it will feel warm in the sunnier periods, and cooler in the rain.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 17 Jul 2016 to Tuesday 26 Jul 2016:

On Sunday, most of England and Wales will be warm and dry with some bright spells and isolated showers. Scotland and Northern Ireland will be cooler and breezier with rain at times, these conditions perhaps spreading south across northern England through the day. Thereafter, rather changeable conditions look likely to dominate through the remainder of the period. Northwestern parts are likely to see more in the way of rain or showers, interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. The southeast should see more drier and brighter spells, but also some rain at times. After a warm start in the south, near average temperatures are expected for most areas through the period, this made up of a mixture of cooler, wetter days and some warmer, brighter ones.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 27 Jul 2016 to Wednesday 10 Aug 2016:

Conditions are likely to be rather changeable through the latter part of July and early part of August, with occasional bands of rain trying to move eastwards across the country, interspersed by periods of drier and brighter weather, but still with some showers. The most unsettled conditions are more likely to be in the north and west, with areas further south and southeast favoured for seeing the best of the drier, more settled weather. There is a chance that the more settled conditions may extend across a greater portion of the country for a time. Temperatures are likely to average out around normal, but it will feel warm in the sunnier periods, and cooler in the rain.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Local Radio for here (Radio Solent) on the south coast, updated forecast this morning says...........drizzle and cloud saturday, brightening later on Sunday and temps near normal ....is that it!!?? I thought a snippet of Summer was on the way?

Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 18 Jul 2016 to Wednesday 27 Jul 2016:

On the whole, southern parts of the UK will see a great deal of dry, bright and warm weather through the second half of July, with only temporary cloudier spells when there will be some patchy rain or isolated showers. Across the north however, it will likely stay more changeable with bands of rain pushing in from the west, interspersed by interludes of drier and brighter conditions, but also with some showers. The wettest conditions are always most likely in the northwest where it may be rather windy at times too. Temperature will generally be near average for most areas through the period, though southern parts will likely see some warm, or even very warm days at times.

UK Outlook for Thursday 28 Jul 2016 to Thursday 11 Aug 2016:

Generally settled conditions are likely across many southern parts of the UK, often extending into central parts too, with plenty of dry, bright and warm weather. There will still be a risk of showers or spells of rain moving in from the west at times, though this will most likely be confined to northern or northwestern parts. Temperatures generally near or slightly below average in the north, whilst southern, and more especially southeastern parts should see some warm, or very warm temperatures as we go into August.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

A very pleasing update for those away from the north-west. I expect that'll include Kent! 😉

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Jul 2016 to Thursday 28 Jul 2016:

Across southern parts of the UK there will likely be some decent spells of dry, bright and warm weather through the second half of July, with only temporary unsettled spells when there will be some patchy rain. There is also a low risk of warm continental air bringing thundery showers at times. For many northern parts however, it will likely stay more changeable with bands of rain pushing in from the west, these interspersed by interludes of drier and brighter conditions with isolated showers. The wettest conditions are always most likely in the northwest where it may be rather windy at times too. Temperatures will generally be near average for most areas through the period, though southern parts will likely see some warm, or even very warm days at times.

UK Outlook for Friday 29 Jul 2016 to Friday 12 Aug 2016:

On the whole, settled conditions are favoured across many southern parts of the UK, often extending into central parts too, with plenty of dry, bright and warm weather. There will still be periods of more unsettled weather with showers or spells of rain moving in from the west at times, though these will most likely be confined to northern or northwestern parts. Temperatures generally near or slightly below average in the north, whilst southern, and more especially southeastern parts could see some warm, or very warm temperatures at times.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Just as the BBC forecasts seemed to have jumped onto the pessimistic side of the fence.

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Summer is FINALLY here! Britain to roast THIS week in 77F sunshine SCORCHER

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/689588/UK-weather-summer-July-2016-sunshine-hot-weekend-heatwave 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 20 Jul 2016 to Friday 29 Jul 2016:

Bands of showery rain are expected to move northeastwards on Wednesday and early Thursday with these perhaps heavy and thundery and strong winds possible in the east. Thereafter, southern parts of the UK should see some decent spells of dry, bright and warm weather, with only temporary unsettled spells giving patchy rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms. For northern parts it will likely stay more changeable with bands of rain, and occasionally strong winds, arriving from the west, these interspersed by interludes of drier and brighter conditions with isolated showers. The wettest conditions are most likely in the northwest. Temperatures will generally be near average for most areas through the period, though southeastern parts will likely see some warm, or even very warm days at times, particularly at first.

UK Outlook for Saturday 30 Jul 2016 to Saturday 13 Aug 2016:

Into the start of August there are no strong signals, as such changeable conditions are most probable. Dry, bright and warm interludes are likely in between bands of rain and showery spells. Western and northwestern areas are likely to see the most rain, with southern and southeastern areas likely to be drier overall. Humid air may spread in from the south for short periods, giving the possibility of thunderstorms. Temperatures are likely to average out around normal, although with some warm days.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 21 Jul 2016 to Saturday 30 Jul 2016:

Heavy and thundery showery rain is expected to clear northeastwards early on Thursday, with strong winds in the north also easing. Thereafter, southern parts of the UK should see some decent spells of dry, bright and warm weather, with only temporary unsettled spells giving patchy rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms. For northern parts it will likely stay more changeable with bands of rain, and occasionally strong winds, arriving from the west, these interspersed by interludes of drier and brighter conditions with isolated showers. The wettest conditions are most likely in the northwest. Temperatures will generally be near average for most areas through the period, though southern parts may see some warm days at times.

UK Outlook for Sunday 31 Jul 2016 to Sunday 14 Aug 2016:

Into the start of August there are no strong signals, as such changeable conditions are most probable. Dry, bright and warm interludes are likely in between bands of rain and showery spells. Western and northwestern areas are likely to see the most rain, with southern and southeastern areas likely to be drier overall. Humid air may spread in from the south for short periods, giving the possibility of thunderstorms. Temperatures are likely to average out around normal, although with some warm days.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 22 Jul 2016 to Sunday 31 Jul 2016:

Scattered showers should develop across much of the country on Friday, perhaps turning heavy and thundery but still some bright or sunny spells likely. Briefly turning a little more settled into the weekend though still one or two showers around. From Sunday onwards, conditions are likely to turn more changeable with bands of rain at times, interspersed with brighter, but showery conditions. Western and northwestern parts should see the wettest weather, with the best of the drier and brighter conditions in the south and southeast. It will be breezy for most too, particularly across northern parts. Temperatures will be generally near average for most parts, though it may turn warm and possibly humid at times in the south.

UK Outlook for Monday 1 Aug 2016 to Monday 15 Aug 2016:

Through the first half of August, a continuation of the changeable conditions is the most probable scenario, though a cool and wet spell of weather is possible through the early part of August. Otherwise, dry, bright and warm interludes are likely in between bands of rain and showery spells. Western and northwestern areas are likely to see the most rain, with southern and southeastern areas likely to be drier overall. Temperatures are likely to average out around normal, although with some warm days, though below average in wetter spell of weather early August.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BRITAIN'S WEEK-LONG HEATWAVE: Summer back with a bang as mercury to hit scorching 33C

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/690315/Summer-weather-forecast-UK-long-range-week-long-heatwave

The predicted highs they say actually look quite realistic

Warnings for storms out now:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1468882800&regionName=uk

Thunderstorms breaking out over parts of Northern Ireland later on Tuesday are expected to extend northeast to affect parts of Scotland overnight and into Wednesday morning. There is also potential for some severe thunderstorms to develop across Wales, northern England and the Midlands. Here, the risk is greatest during Wednesday, by which time the risk of storms will be reducing across the west of the yellow area - and then finally also reducing across the east of the area by Wednesday evening.

Whilst most places will miss the worst, please be aware of the risk of flash flooding. Frequent lightning, large hail and strong winds could be additional hazards. All of this could lead to some flooding of homes, businesses and transport networks. Disruption to power is also possible.

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 18 July—Sunday 24 July
Heat and humidity kick things off

Most parts of the country start the week under the influence of high pressure, drawing in hot and humid conditions from the near continent. We're likely to see temperatures above 30 degrees for many places, making this the warmest spell of the summer so far. So plenty of dry, sunny weather at first, away from northwestern parts of the country that is, where low pressure will brings spells of rain at times. During the middle of the week, it looks like we'll see a breakdown in the heat and humidity, with the arrival of heavy showers and thunderstorms moving west to east across the country. The showery and thundery spell will give way to fresher conditions from the west, and a return to sunshine and scattered showers to end the week.

Monday 25 July—Sunday 31 July
Driest in the south, unsettled further north

This week we're likely to have high pressure holding on across southern parts of the country, with lower pressure often situated to the north. Fronts moving in from the Atlantic will bring showers or longer spells of rain at times, interspersed with drier, brighter interludes. The warmest and sunniest weather looks likely to be across southern Britain and Northern Ireland, with cooler and wetter conditions generally towards the northeast.

Monday 1 August—Sunday 14 August
A mix of weather types ahead

After the warm, humid spell in July, it looks like a return to business as usual for the start of August. The first few weeks of August are likely to remain changeable as weather systems cross the UK, bringing wind and rain at times. Also, some drier and warmer interludes will bring more summery spells of weather too. The warmest and sunniest conditions are most likely towards southern England and Northern Ireland, with cloudier skies often across the northeast.

Next week

As we look towards late summer, will there be any signs of an extended spell of warm, sunny weather? Or should be be packing away the paddling pools for another year? Watch this space...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update
UK Outlook for Saturday 23 Jul 2016 to Monday 1 Aug 2016:

A brighter start to the weekend, with sunshine and isolated showers for most, perhaps heavier in the north. By Sunday, outbreaks of showery rain likely for most parts, though bright or sunny spells developing at times too. Through the rest of the period a generally changeable picture is expected with a mixture of cloudier conditions with outbreaks of rain are likely, interspersed with brighter but showery weather. Western and northwestern parts should see the wettest weather and heaviest rain, with the best of the drier and brighter conditions in the south and southeast. It will be breezy at times too, particularly across northern parts. Temperatures will be generally near average for most parts, though it may turn warm and possibly humid at times in the south.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 2 Aug 2016 to Tuesday 16 Aug 2016:

Through the first half of August, a continuation of the changeable conditions is the most probable scenario, though a cooler and more unsettled spell of weather is possible through the early part of August. Otherwise, dry, bright and warm interludes are likely in between bands of rain and showery spells. Western and northwestern areas are likely to see the most rain, with southern and southeastern areas likely to be drier overall. Temperatures are likely to average out around normal, although with some warm days, though below average in wetter spell of weather early August.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 24 Jul 2016 to Tuesday 2 Aug 2016:

On Sunday Atlantic weather fronts will spread outbreaks of rain eastwards across the British Isles, with some heavy bursts likely in western areas, although it may possibly be later in the day before this rain reaches southeastern England. Then for the remainder of the period we continue to expect a generally changeable picture with a mixture of cloudier conditions with outbreaks of rain interspersed with brighter, showery weather. Western and northwestern parts should see the wettest weather and heaviest rain, with the best of the drier and brighter conditions more likely in the south and southeast. It will be breezy at times too, particularly across northern parts. The temperature will be generally near average for most of us, although it may turn warm and humid at times in the south.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 3 Aug 2016 to Wednesday 17 Aug 2016:

The latest indications are that a continuation of changeable weather conditions across the British Isles is the most likely scenario during the first half of August. There may possibly be a cooler, windy spell of wetter weather for a time early in the month, although confidence on this is currently only low. Thereafter, dry, bright and warm interludes are likely in between bands of rain and showery spells. Western and northwestern areas are likely to see the most rain, with southern and southeastern areas likely to be drier overall. The temperature is likely to average out at around average for August, with both some warm and cool days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 25 Jul 2016 to Wednesday 3 Aug 2016:

On Monday the latest indications are for a day of sunny intervals and scattered showers, although southeastern England is likely to have an interval of more prolonged rain for a time. The most likely scenario for the remainder of the period is generally changeable, with a mixture of cloudier conditions with outbreaks of rain interspersed with brighter, showery weather. Western and northwestern parts should see the wettest weather and heaviest rain, with the best of the drier and brighter conditions more likely in the south and southeast. It will be breezy at times too, particularly across northern parts. The temperature will be generally near average for most of us, although it may turn warm and humid at times in the south.

UK Outlook for Thursday 4 Aug 2016 to Thursday 18 Aug 2016:

The latest indications are that a continuation of changeable weather conditions across the British Isles is the most likely scenario during early and mid August. So there are likely to be dry, bright and warm intervals between bands of rain and showery spells. Western and northwestern areas are likely to see the most rain, with southern and southeastern areas likely to be drier overall with the best of the sunshine. The temperature will probably average out at around or slightly below normal for August, with both some warm and cool days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

The recent projected forecast for August for the south looks like a significant downgrade for the UK. I really hope this LRF turns out to be wrong!

LRF = Chocolate teapot ;)