Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 26 Jul 2016 to Thursday 4 Aug 2016:

The weather is most likely to be changeable in general through this period, with outbreaks of rain interspersed by brighter, showery conditions. At first northern parts are likely to see a showery regime dominating, with some heavy and thundery downpours possible, while in the south more organised bands of rain are likely, with drier brighter spells in between. From late next week a trend towards western and northwestern parts seeing the heaviest and most persistent rain is likely, with the best of the drier and brighter conditions in the south and southeast. It will be breezy at times too, particularly across northern parts. Temperatures will be generally near average for most of us, although it may turn warm and humid at times in the south.

UK Outlook for Friday 5 Aug 2016 to Friday 19 Aug 2016:

The latest indications are that changeable weather will continue to affect the UK during early and mid August. There are likely to be dry, bright and warm intervals, but also bands of rain and showery spells. Western and northwestern areas are likely to see the most rain, with southern and southeastern areas likely to be drier overall with the best of the sunshine. The temperature will probably average out at around or slightly below normal for August, with both some warm and cool days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

WARMEST WEEKEND of the YEAR to bake Britain in temperatures of 82F in heatwave aftermath

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/691939/WARMEST-WEEKEND-YEAR-Britain-temperatures-82F-heatwave 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 27 Jul 2016 to Friday 5 Aug 2016:

An unsettled look to the weather on Wednesday, with sunshine and showers. These conditions are then expected to continue into Thursday with a risk of gales in the northwest. Moving through Friday and into next weekend, it is likely there will be bands of rain, showers and some fresher periods. Northern parts should see most of the rain, along with a chance of gales. Further south, drier and brighter weather is expected. The following week is likely to see showers or longer spells of rain across the country, interspersed with some more settled and drier periods. Temperatures through the outlook period may be around or perhaps slightly below average. The cooler temperatures possibly in the north, but occasionally warm and humid in the south.

UK Outlook for Saturday 6 Aug 2016 to Saturday 20 Aug 2016:

The strongest signal is for the weather across the UK to be changeable from early through to mid-August. There are likely to be warm and settled periods, but also bands of rain, along with spells of sunshine and showers. Most of the rain is likely to be in the north and northwest, with the south and southeast expected to see more of the drier and settled conditions. Temperatures will probably average out around normal, with some warmer and cooler days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

A completely useless MRF from the Met Office as they have basically covered everything. Every possible weather type. Translated this means they haven't got a clue.

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Nothing unusual about that Kieren. This is the notoriously changeable British weather we're talking about after all.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 28 Jul 2016 to Saturday 6 Aug 2016:

Turning cloudier and more humid on Thursday with outbreaks of rain moving eastwards. This rain is likely to be heaviest in the west and northwest, especially over the hills, and winds will also strengthen in the west. These conditions probably clearing on Friday leaving fresher but showery weather for many. The remainder of the period is likely to stay rather changeable, with a mixture of showers or longer spells of rain and drier more settled interludes. The northwest should see the heaviest of the rain, whilst the southeast gets more of the drier and brighter weather. Temperatures look to be around average, but cooler at times in the northwest and occasionally warm and humid in the southeast.

UK Outlook for Sunday 7 Aug 2016 to Sunday 21 Aug 2016:

The strongest signal is for the weather across the UK to stay rather changeable throughout this period. There are likely to be warm and settled periods, but also bands of rain, along with spells of sunshine and showers. Most of the rain is likely to be in the north and northwest, with the south and southeast expected to see more of the drier and settled conditions. There is a small chance that a more prolonged spell of warm and settled conditions could develop for a time during mid-August, but confidence in this is current low. Temperatures will probably average out around normal, with some warmer and cooler days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 29 Jul 2016 to Sunday 7 Aug 2016:

Cloud and outbreaks of rain will clear the southeast on Friday to leave cooler and fresher conditions, with sunshine and showers. Showers will be heaviest and most frequent in the northwest and more isolated in the southeast. The remainder of the period is likely to stay rather changeable, with a mixture of cooler and brighter but showery spells and milder and cloudier conditions with outbreaks of rain. Northwestern parts will see the heaviest of the rain along with the strongest winds, whereas the southeast will get the best of the drier and brighter weather. Temperatures should be largely around average, but cooler at times in the northwest and occasionally warm and humid in the southeast.

UK Outlook for Monday 8 Aug 2016 to Monday 22 Aug 2016:

The strongest signal is for the weather across the UK to stay rather changeable throughout this period. There are likely to be warm and settled periods, but also bands of rain, along with spells of sunshine and showers. Most of the rain is likely to be in the north and northwest, with the south and southeast expected to see more of the drier and settled conditions. There is a small chance that a more prolonged spell of warm and settled conditions could develop for a time during mid-August, but confidence in this is current low. Temperatures will probably average out around normal, with some warmer and cooler days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 25 July—Sunday 31 July
Showers on most days. Not so warm in the east.

For many parts of England, Monday will be the coolest day for some time, with temperatures back near the normal for late July. There'll be some sunshine and only isolated light showers over England and Wales, while Northern Ireland and Scotland have a cool westerly wind and more widespread showers, with this cool showery weather continuing there on Tuesday. Further south it will turn cloudier with some patchy rain over Wales and the southwest. On Wednesday and Thursday, rather cloudy weather will spread across the country, bringing rain especially to western parts. The southeast will be drier, and may turn warmer and brighter but with the chance of a few heavy showers. For Friday and the weekend the mix of sunny intervals and scattered showers will continue. Northern areas will be rather cool, and will see more showers, while the south is drier and a little warmer. As a result, some places in the south will end up with a very dry July overall.

Monday 1 August—Sunday 7 August
Change of month... but no change in weather

August begins with the same sort of weather pattern expected to continue. So we continue to look to the west for occasional bands of rain moving in from the Atlantic. These will be more potent in the northwest, so expect some heavy bursts of rain there, while in the south and east any rain will be lighter and more patchy in nature. Scotland and Northern Ireland will have temperatures near or a little below normal, while the south may see one or two warmer, more humid days.

Monday 8 August—Sunday 21 August
Increasing chance of a fine, warm spell

The pattern of rather unsettled weather, giving most of the rain in the northwest and best of the temperatures and sunshine in the southeast, is likely to prevail through the middle fortnight of August too. However, some computer models are suggesting that a high pressure area may develop across the British Isles. This means there is an increasing chance that there will be a spell when the whole country can expect several days of fine, warm weather with long sunny spells. This can only be considered a moderate probability at this range - the high pressure may prove reluctant to shift from its usual position near the Azores.

Next week

Watching for signs of the Azores High shifting towards the British Isles

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 30 Jul 2016 to Monday 8 Aug 2016:

Brighter and cooler through the weekend, with scattered showers affecting western and northwestern parts and southeastern parts remaining generally dry. Later in the weekend and start of the week, it may turn a little windier with cloud and rain pushing into western parts. The remainder of the period is likely to stay rather changeable, with a mixture of brighter but showery spells interspersed with cloudier conditions with bands of rain pushing through. Northwestern parts will see the heaviest of the rain along with the strongest winds, whereas the southeast will get the best of the drier and brighter weather. Temperatures should be largely around average, but cooler at times in the northwest and occasionally warm or very warm and humid in the southeast.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 9 Aug 2016 to Tuesday 23 Aug 2016:

The UK is most likely to remain within this changeable regime through August. Outbreaks of rain, along with sunshine and showers may affect the country at times, but there is also likely to be some warmer and settled periods. Northern and northwestern parts are expected to see most of the rain, with the south and southeast seeing more of the drier and settled conditions. There is a chance that a more prolonged settled and warm spell may develop for a time around mid-August, though confidence is currently low. Temperatures will probably average out around normal, with some warmer and cooler days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Could the heat return next week?

The latest week ahead forecast reveals all

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/36889940 

John Hammond on BBC News 24 hinting at the possibility of another shot of heat next week. Said a few models were showing it as an option.

Indeed. A small chance but a chance nonetheless. Here's hoping.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 31 Jul 2016 to Tuesday 9 Aug 2016:
A good deal of bright weather is likely at first, but with showers affecting western and northwestern parts, while southeastern areas remain generally dry. Temperatures will be near or slightly below average, with some chilly nights, especially in the north. From Tuesday it is expected to turn more unsettled generally, with a mixture of brighter but showery spells interspersed by cloudier conditions with outbreaks of rain. Northwestern parts will see the heaviest rain and strongest winds, whereas the southeast will get the best of the dry and bright weather. Temperatures generally around average, but sometimes cooler in the northwest. The weather may turn more settled for the first weekend in August, with temperatures trending upwards, but how long this lasts, if it occurs at all, is very uncertain.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 10 Aug 2016 to Wednesday 24 Aug 2016:

After perhaps a brief settled and warmer spell at first, the weather will most probably return to a changeable regime. Outbreaks of rain, along with sunshine and showers are likely to affect the country at times, but there is also expected to be some warmer and settled periods. Northern and northwestern parts will generally see the wettest weather, with the south and southeast seeing the most lengthy dry and fine spells. Temperatures will probably average out around normal, with some warmer and cooler days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Very small chance of some heating coming up from the south next week in the meantime it's looking mixed with temps in the higher teens to low 20's further south

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/36900516 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 1 Aug 2016 to Wednesday 10 Aug 2016:

A good deal of bright weather is likely on Monday, but with showers affecting some parts, particularly in the north and east. Temperatures will be near or slightly below average, with a chilly night following, especially in the north. From Tuesday it is expected to turn more unsettled generally, with a mixture of brighter but showery spells interspersed by cloudier conditions with outbreaks of rain. Northwestern parts will see the heaviest rain and strongest winds, whereas the southeast will get the best of the dry and bright weather. Temperatures generally around average, but sometimes cooler in the northwest. The weather may turn more settled for the first weekend in August, with temperatures trending upwards, but how long this lasts, if it occurs at all, is very uncertain.

UK Outlook for Thursday 11 Aug 2016 to Thursday 25 Aug 2016:

Any early brief settled and warmer spell is unlikely to last, with the weather most probably returning to a changeable regime. Outbreaks of rain, along with sunshine and showers are likely to affect the country at times, but there is also expected to be some warmer and settled periods. Northern and northwestern parts will generally see the wettest weather, with the south and southeast seeing the most lengthy dry and fine spells. Temperatures will probably average out around normal, with some warmer and cooler days likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Usual pointless update!

Twas ever thus!

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 2 Aug 2016 to Thursday 11 Aug 2016:

After a chilly start in places on Tuesday, many will see a dry morning with bright or sunny spells, though there will also be a few showers around. By the end of the day, rain will spread in from the west marking a return to more changeable conditions. There will likely be a mixture of further spells of rain spreading east, interspersed by drier and brighter periods through until mid-August. Northwestern parts are most likely to see the heaviest rain and strongest winds, whereas the southeast is favoured for seeing the best of the drier and brighter weather. Temperatures at first are expected to be slightly below average, but as we move into the more changeable conditions, temperatures will generally average out around normal for the time of year.

UK Outlook for Friday 12 Aug 2016 to Friday 26 Aug 2016:

The generally changeable conditions across much of the UK are likely to continue through the middle part of August. Further spells of rain are expected to push in from the west, interspersed with drier, brighter and warmer periods, but also with some showers. Northern and northwestern parts will generally see the wettest weather, with the south and southeast seeing the most lengthy dry and fine spells. Temperatures will probably average out around normal, with warmer weather in the more settled periods, but also some cooler days in any wind and rain.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

I think that's a harsh and slightly unfair judgement! What I would say is these Met Office 30 dayers haven't really lived up to the promise they showed in 2009/10 when they picked the cold spells up a long way ahead. It's clear improvements will be incremental unless there is a step change in the technology. The question will be does cost - benefit analysis supports further investment or will a decision be made to slow things down because we have reached a plateau.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 3 Aug 2016 to Friday 12 Aug 2016:

On Wednesday and Thursday potentially heavy rain is likely to affect most areas for a time before brighter, showery conditions follow from the west. These showery conditions should continue through the weekend, although southern and southwestern parts may become more settled for a while. Then as we head towards mid-August the latest indications are that changeable conditions will prevail, with intervals of dry, sunny weather interspersed with periods of rain, showers and strong winds. Northwestern parts are likely to see the heaviest rain and strongest winds whereas the southeast should experience the best of the drier, brighter weather. Some large swings in temperature are likely, although overall it should average out at close to or slightly below normal for the time of year.

UK Outlook for Saturday 13 Aug 2016 to Saturday 27 Aug 2016:

The generally changeable conditions across the British Isles are likely to continue through mid to late August. Further spells of rain are expected to push in from the west, interspersed with drier, brighter and warmer periods, but also with some showers at times. Northern and northwestern parts should have the wettest weather, with the south and southeast seeing the lengthiest dry and fine spells. Some large swings in temperature remain likely, although overall it should continue to average out at close to or slightly below normal for August.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Britain set for MONSTER HEATWAVE in weeks and SUMMER SCORCHER will last till September

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/694729/UK-weather-forecast-heatwave-sun-summer-hot-till-August-September 

">http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/694729/UK-weather-forecast-heatwave-sun-summer-hot-till-August-September