China have reported 78 new confirmed cases, 7 new deaths (all in Hubei) and 35 new suspected cases.

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

I've not ventured out ......does anyone know what the state of the supermarkets is today? 

Originally Posted by: llamedos 

The modelling is likely to be unreliable. There is no precedent, the data is limited  and there are  many unknowns. 

Originally Posted by: xioni2 

Bloody Texts from The Government are playing havoc here , telling people you must stay at home

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

Listen to this daft woman and then fume.  This country....

https://twitter.com/lilliemaenot/status/1242410885236260864?s=21

Originally Posted by: John p 

Scotland and Wales both suggest UK deaths could be down today. Fingers crossed. If that's the case it would make the outlook even more uncertain.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

I'm not sure Brian , I'd never expect huge daily numbers from those anyway  , of course as we've discussed really depends on the amount of testing that is taking place 

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

If the Chinese figures were completely kosher, wouldn't you expect the latest deaths to be more spread out rather than 'all in Hubei?' Given that most cases are now imported and Hubei has been locked down for ages

Originally Posted by: Chidog 

Comical 

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

​Coronavirus: US may become global epicentre of COVID-19 outbreak, says World Health Organization

Quote

 The US has the potential to become the new global epicentre of the coronavirus pandemic, according to the World Health Organization. More than 46,000 cases and 530 deaths have so far been reported in America, with more than 20,000 in New York state alone. A spokeswoman for the World Health Organization (WHO) said the country could soon see a surge akin to those experienced across Europe.

Earlier, US President Donald Trump admitted his government was experiencing difficulties in securing lifesaving medical equipment. He tweeted: "The World market for face masks and ventilators is Crazy. We are helping the states to get equipment, but it is not easy." In New York - one of the world's biggest virus hotspots - authorities rushed to set up thousands of hospital beds they will need to protect the city's 8.4 million people. More than 12,000 people have tested positive in the city and 125 have died, with a state-wide lockdown taking effect since Monday. 

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-spains-death-toll-rises-by-514-in-one-day-to-2-696-11962778

​

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

This will be of interest to Maunder.

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e3.htm?s_cid=mm6912e3_w

Originally Posted by: nouska 

Cue a Twitter frenzy from the orange sex pest. 

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Listen to this daft woman and then fume.  This country....

https://twitter.com/lilliemaenot/status/1242410885236260864?s=21

Originally Posted by: John p 

Thanks - that issue about 17 days resilience of the virus in cabins is stark.

The WHO should have recommended that all cruises in the Far East be suspended in early January and everywhere by February.

Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 

I don't know how you folks find time to read and respond to the multitude of posts on this thread or hope to do them justice. It's a torrent of facts and opinions, but in such a tsunami of information that all kinds of things can be [and are] missed. I admire you, but I can't keep up with you. 

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

A friend's just messaged me to say his family break to Centre Parcs at Easter has been cancelled, but he's going to recreate the magic by having his kids cycle round and round the garden, whilst he sits there burning £20 notes.

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

This will be of interest to Maunder.

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e3.htm?s_cid=mm6912e3_w

(...)

Cruise ships are often settings for outbreaks of infectious diseases because of their closed environment, contact between travelers from many countries, and crew transfers between ships. On the Diamond Princess, transmission largely occurred among passengers before quarantine was implemented, whereas crew infections peaked after quarantine (6). On the Grand Princess, crew members were likely infected on voyage A and then transmitted SARS-CoV-2 to passengers on voyage B. The results of testing of passengers and crew on board the Diamond Princess demonstrated a high proportion (46.5%) of asymptomatic infections at the time of testing. Available statistical models of the Diamond Princess outbreak suggest that 17.9% of infected persons never developed symptoms (9). A high proportion of asymptomatic infections could partially explain the high attack rate among cruise ship passengers and crew. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was identified on a variety of surfaces in cabins of both symptomatic and asymptomatic infected passengers up to 17 days after cabins were vacated on the Diamond Princess but before disinfection procedures had been conducted (Takuya Yamagishi, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, personal communication, 2020). Although these data cannot be used to determine whether transmission occurred from contaminated surfaces, further study of fomite transmission of SARS-CoV-2 aboard cruise ships is warranted.

(...)

Originally Posted by: nouska 

To really make it really authentic he could sit in a paddling pool.

Originally Posted by: warrenb