I hope so, my model has, at times, overestimated the confirmed cases too (and for 3 days). Its just alot more worrying when it gets it wrong in the other direction. Really hoping this is just a blip and we will be back on track by tommorow.

5 NHS trusts in England have now recorded 200+ deaths from Covid-19

• University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust: 394


• London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust: 263


• Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust: 251


• King’s College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust: 234


• Barts Health NHS Trust: 220

917 deaths is certainly a grim figure 

I went for an extended perambulation (11.4 KM) this morning  really early .  No one about when I left the village, but by the time I came back from the Downs  it was bloody difficult to  maintain social distancing.    To be fair everyone  made the effort but  the volume of people out and about was  high.  The mornings are coming out  rapidly again after they buggered around with the clocks ( ).  I will shift to perambulating before work  when it gets light at 5AM to avoid the afternoon peak !

Noticed a few things as I went out.  The local barber is still  open, but you have to make an appointment.  Previously it was "rock up and wait".   The local pub is also now delivering meals.  I'm tempted to give them a go as it will take the pressure of having to buy comestibles.

We popped into Royston this morning for some bread and it was really quiet. There were a few market stalls but much fewer than normal and not many people either. Roads were almost empty; I’d guess a tenth of normal levels.

Went for a 2-mile walk this afternoon and again just a handful of cars and a few people out walking.

I think they said up to 20K. Yesterday’s data in London was incorrect and underreported.

How does the barber stay 2 metres away? Does he have very long arms and even longer scissors? 😉

Hospital admissions should be starting to fall now I think. The  lockdown has been in place for 3 weeks.

Priti Patel I think is struggling. The press pack have gone after her in ways they haven’t with other ministers off the hook.

Still she didn’t deal with that apology question well.

Her answers are extremely waffly.

I am conscious I am getting a bit shaggy, Gandalf. I wish I'd had a skinhead cut right at the start of the pandemic - a note for next time?

Beard's a bit hefty now too.

R.

Daily slides. Only 3 of use today. 

New cases starting to level off

Patients in hospital beds with Covid-19 is showing signs of some stabilization away from London

Uk tracking level with Italy for deaths

US appears to be racing ahead of everybody.

Italy have reported 4,694 new cases and 619 new deaths

Both up on yesterday

• New cases +743


• New deaths + 49

Who thought it was a good idea to let Priti do one of these?

Awful creature

This made me chuckle:

Prof Stephen Powis of NHS England says it's difficult to give a precise number on how much PPE is needed in comparison with how much is being delivered, because it varies from day to day.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-52252981

Oh dear, and they've had the strictest lockdown for a very long time

Was it really worth it when you consider deaths that will result from economic hardship and other health problems not getting treated

Don't forget that she really believes that we're all lazy and stupid. Even someone as thick skinned and lacking in empathy as she is, must be starting to feel the public mood.

That seems like a statement of fact.

Daily breakdown of the data from PHE

UK data 

• Daily confirmed Cases -  5,234


• Total UK deaths - 9,875

English data

Top 10 Local Authorities with the highest confirmed cases

1. Birmingham: 1,712


2. Hampshire: 1,518


3. Kent: 1,374


4. Essex: 1,331


5. Lancashire: 1,314


6. Surrey: 1,310


7. Hertfordshire: 1,267


8. Sheffield: 1,137


9. Cumbria: 1,109


10. Brent: 958

Local Authorities with the fewest confirmed cases

• Rutland: 9 - No change


• Isle of Wight: 45


• North East Lincolnshire: 64


• Hartlepool: 64 - No change


• Torbay: 87


• North Lincolnshire: 91


• Herefordshire, County of: 93


• Kingston upon Hull, City of: 97


• Peterborough: 101


• Bracknell Forest: 103

Regional data

• London - 16,721 (+710)   


• Midlands - 10,368 (+664) 


• North West - 8,604 (+583) 


• North East and Yorkshire - 8,181 (+478) 


• South East - 7,872 (+568) 


• East of England - 5,302 (+430) 


• South West - 2,963 (+216) 

All changes with yesterday. Data based up to 9am today for new cases and up to 5pm yesterday for new confirmed coronavirus deaths. Not all deaths occurred in the 24hr period