WX temp summaries show little change from yesterday; for two weeks they show
freezing weather more or less static east of Poland (and including Scandinavia) and N of the Black Sea. W Europe mild and above norm in week 1, cooler and close to norm week 2. Of note, however, is that ultra-cold weather over Russia declines to norm for that area. Pptn also similar;
for Atlantic coastal countries and down through France to the Alps, all clearing away in favour of a large dry area (new; Spain, France, Britain, even Denmark) in week 2 but today dry area also including much of C Europe. Rain on S coasts of Mediterranean.
GFS Op - deep LP currently S of Greenland (945mb) projecting a trough across Britain, to 985mb Hebrides tomorrow, the whole system filling and moving E-wards to 1000mb S Scotland Tue 12th (and link to 1005mb Baltic). The section over Scotland moves off to S Europe, pressure rises and by by Fri 15th HP 1040mb is centred over Cornwall. This pressure is maintained somewhere over Britain until Wed 20th when it first retrogresses and then moves N to Greenland 1045mb Sun 24th, at which time Britain is under N-lies controlled by LP 1000mb S Baltic.
ECM - similar to GFS but HP slower to move in, 1040mb not attained until Mon 18th, and then situated further S with SW-lies for Scotland.
GEM - somewhere between GFS and ECM
GEFS - mild (in S) or near norm (in N) to Wed 13th with pulses of rain, cooler around Fri 15th, good ens agreement to this point, then with increasing uncertainty milder again near Mon 18th (many ens members very mild) and a distinct cooling to below norm approaching Christmas Eve. Mainly dry after Wed 13th.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl