WX temp charts showing Europe north of the Alps as average in week 1, cooling a little in week 2 and definitely doing so for areas bordering the N Atlantic. [These are average temps across a week, and although SE England is the warmest bit of Britain, they suggest that Darren's dislike of heat, above, will only apply briefly]. Rain mostly in a band N Scotland - Scandinavia - W Russia; Spain and Turkey dry; bits and pieces elsewhere.
GFS Op - headline is for LPs to continue trundling across Britain from the Atlantic, drawing up bursts of warmth from the south as they approach and then leaving trailing W-lies in their wake. LP centres noted today England 1005mb, Sat 20th Faeroes 990mb dipping towards NE Scotland, Fri 26th Scotland 1000mb linked to Norway, Tue 30th Scotland 1000mb.Thu 1st Cornwall 1005mb.
ECM - similar pattern though current LP more effective at drawing up warmth only for the subsequent one at the weekend to extens a trough much further S. Thus model also adds another LP, traversing S Scotland Tue 23rd 1005mb.
GEM - like GFS, though with more emphasis on a few warm days in the SE this week, gone by the weekend
GEFS - in the S, briefly warm this week, then close to norm or a little below from Sun 21st into August, very little rain. Further N, the warm spell is absent, and amounts of rain are greater the further N (esp NW) you go, though nowhere really wet. Reasonable ens agreement.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl