JFF model update:
There are some number problems again. Just going to use the daily figures as cumulatives do not add up. Anyway for 13543 people tested:
Model prediction: 4887
Actual: 5706
So quite a big deviation from the model today, also first time the model has significantly underestimated the number of confirmed cases. On the plus side testing has also gone up more than expected so will incoperate that into future projections.
Not going to change any parameters yet, this is only a one off. Although it is the first figure I've been concerned about. Quite a bit higher than I expected.
Originally Posted by: Quantum