The latest model output is starting to look very interesting from a summer perspective.
Until now, this month has been much drier than of late in this part of the world despite last Friday's downpours and the although we might get a bit of rain towards the end of the week, there's no signs of anything all that wet here and so, it looks as though this is shaping up to be a below average month here in terms of rainfall (Edinburgh never stays really wet for months on end like other parts of the UK, and that is being shown up really nicely).
In addition to that, I recently discussed on here, my comparison between what's been happening during this month so far, and what happened in this same month back in 2013 and I can see a similar scenario again turning up in the latest model output as well.
Back in the summer of 2013, high pressure sat to our SW quite a lot of the time but even here in SE Scotland, it was usually always close enough to us to keep it largely dry and that played quite a huge part in us getting a decent summer overall in that year.
Meanwhile, the latest models (at least according to the Met Office's look ahead to the rest of this week) has high pressure building tantalisingly close enough to us to our SW to vastly weaken any frontal systems which come our way and of course, it wouldn't take much for that high pressure to then build in across the UK and deliver a spell of decent summer weather.
Given that comparison with the summer of 2013, could we be possibly be in for something here?
Edited by user
17 June 2024 17:52:44
|
Reason: Not specified
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.