WX temp charts still stuck in a rut with milder weather advancing north to the east of Poland, and to a lesser extent into Spain in the west, but both Britain and continental Europe have temps well-below average which have lasted for a couple of weeks and are forecast to continue for the next two; 8C below in the Alps. Rain fairly general for Europe in week 1, excepting Spain, heaviest near the Alps; something drier working south from Scandinavia in week 2, just about reaching S England.
GFS Op - for the coming week, HP currently nearby moves out towards Iceland allowing LP in the Baltic to move closer and generate weak but cold NE-lies for much of Britain. At next weekend the Atlantic remembers its normal function and produces LP near Greenland which tracks quickly S-wards, deepening, to Fastnet 970mb Sat 27th. This swirls around Britain for a few days, filling, before moving further S to Italy by Thu 2nd. There is then a slow rise of pressure over Britain but LP is never far away to the SW and later the S, so by Tue 7th the E-lies are back.
ECM - similar to GFS for the first week though next weekend's LP is not so deep (only 990mb) and is further to the SW. When it does move away, it moves back to the Atlantic and on Tue 30th pressure has risen enough over N Europe to start influencing Britain.
GEFS - rather cool (Scotland hangs on to something a little milder for the first couple of days), rising to norm Tue 30th with fair ens agreement to that point after which ens members spread out though mean stays near norm. Periods of not-too-heavy rain likely for the week beginning Fri 26th, though wetter in the SW, most but by no means all runs drier after that.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl