WX charts scale back the warmth in Europe in week 2, especially around the Baltic. Britain grades from warm in the south to cool in the north; continental Europe stays generally warm; coastal Norway and Iceland rather cold. Dry from Britain to the Baltic in week 1 with rain in Iceland and in S Europe; in week 2 the latter dies out while the former extends S-wards to Scotland and Norway.
GFS Op - HP in from the west to start the week, but LP from France links up with a deeper one near Iceland so all of Britain is under a broad trough by Fri 28th. HP, again from the SW, re-establishes for next weekend, but sinks S-wards by Wed 3rd to usher in a spell of zonal weather with W-ly winds, later NW-ly, fine for S Britain. less settled in the N.
ECM - the trough on Fri 28th is more concentrated in the N (990mb Malin) and then drifts S-wards, filling, so although pressure rises for next weekend, it's more by default and described better as shallow LP.
GEM - generates the deep LP as per ECM but a day earlier , but then moves it quickly NE so HP soon back and firmly in control
GEFS - warm until Thu 27th and then temp dropping back to norm with general ens agreement. From Mon 1st mean is slightly above norm but with plenty of variation, in particular op & control going in opposite directions. Not much rain in the S & E but a few runs have big peaks. In the NW, more continual from Thu 27th but relatively small amounts.
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Chichester 12m asl