GFS Op - as previously forecast, LP moving in Thu 27th 990mb Hebrides but minimal effect on S England, leaving a spell of zonal weather as it moves away; with HP to the SW this gives a mainly NW-ly flow to Wed 3rd. Then LP from Iceland 985mb grazes N Scotland en route to Norway leaving shallow area of low pressure in the N Sea with weak but cool N-lies for all of Britain. A brief ridge of HP Tue 9th gives way to further LP 990mb off W Ireland.
ECM - similar to GFS but LP Thu 4th is closer 995mb Aberdeen (yesterday this was shown further N)
GEM - more emphasis on LP; the HP responsible for the zonal flow in GFS is further SW in this model and weather is less settled everywhere, not just the N. In particular there is a twin centre LP on election day 990mb Cornwall and 995mb N Ireland.
GFS - cooling down later this week and mean temp then staying near norm (slightly below in N; op and control amongst the coolest everywhere) with variation between ens members becoming steadily more significant from Wed 3rd. Very little rain in S (one or two runs with large amounts later on), small amounts quite frequently in N
A lot of LP around with rather cool weather in the models, which however is not reflected in GEFS
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl