WX temp charts show some relief this morning, but not until week 2. Week 1 still has the cool area covering Europe with temperatures universally below norm but warmth then spreads north from the Mediterranean with a jump of 4 to 6C in many parts of France and Germany, and even more in the Balkans. England is also milder but Scotland less improved. Rain distributed widely across Europe in both weeks with no one area dramatically wet - for Britain the emphasis switches from the SW in week 1 to the NW in week 2.
GFS Op - consistent with yesterday's chart for the coming week. The current HP soon moves to Iceland with N/NE-ly winds affecting mainly the E coast of Britain before LP from the N Atlantic develops and runs swiftly SE to Biscay 990mb Sat 27th (not as deep or as close as yesterday). That LP then drifts N to Iceland, filling, and by Wed 1st a
rise of pressure in W France brings in mild SW-ly veering W-ly winds. After a brief interruption on Sun 5th while a shallow LP slips past Cornwall, HP is back from the Azores.
ECM - differs from GFS after Tue 30th with another LP running SE to Cornwall followed by a general
fall of pressure over France and on Thu 2nd the E-lies are back, but the source of air is SE Europe, not the Arctic
GEFS - current cool spell finishing sooner than shown yesterday, mean and ens members back to norm by Sat 27th, and mean staying there through to Tue 7th well supported by ens members. From the 27th, small but noticeable amounts of rain in many but not all runs in the SE, rather more in N &W, from the 27th, but less than shown yesterday, very little before 27th.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl