WX summary charts not loading this morning. Last night they hadn't changed much from the morning's output:
WX charts scale back the warmth in Europe in week 2, especially around the Baltic. Britain grades from warm in the south to cool in the north; continental Europe stays generally warm; coastal Norway and Iceland rather cold.GFS Op - Current HP with foundation of warm air squeezed out on Thu 27th by a link-up between LP Iceland and LP France (BBC this morning showing rain for the NW and for the S Wed into Thu). These two form a trough lying N-S, sometimes over Britain, sometimes down the N Sea and persisting through to Sat 6th between HP a few hundred miles to E and W. Even on the 6th the LP is not far away, but HP gets closer to the SW and starts to bring in NW-lies.
ECM - emphasises (as previously) the Icelandic end of the trough on Thu 27th (985mb Rockall) but restores HP quickly to cover Britain by Sun 30th before moving to a more zonal W-ly set-up on Wed 3rd (yesterday's ECM kept the trough in place so a significant upgrade even if it adds to an air of uncertainty)
GEM - also has the trough from Thu 27th, but like ECM by Mon 1st HP from the W has pushed the trough E-wards, at the expense of bringing in cool W/NW winds, but looking dry and settled.
GEFS - warm to about Thu 27th, then cool to Wed 3rd, finally back to norm, moderately good agreement of ensemble members throughout. Rain starts Wed 26th/Thu 27th and persists though amounts tend to decline with time, and are never enormous except for one or two runs in the SW, .
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Chichester 12m asl